Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread thunderstorm coverage across Luzon are keeping Manila's overnight temperatures moderated, with official PAGASA observations and short-range models showing recent minimums near 24–25 °C and similar conditions expected through September 10. This pattern favors the elevated 44 % market-implied odds on 20 °C or below by allowing brief radiational cooling under heavy cloud cover, while the 34 % probability attached to 30 °C or higher reflects the broader uncertainty in exact nighttime minimums amid variable rain timing and wind shifts. Forecasters note typical early-September lows of 24–26 °C, so any deviation from model consensus on cloud thickness or wind speed could quickly shift resolution odds before the period closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Manila on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 10?
20°C or below 69%
30°C or higher 66%
28°C 39%
29°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
20°C or below
69%
21°C
3%
22°C
18%
23°C
24%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
66%
20°C or below 69%
30°C or higher 66%
28°C 39%
29°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
20°C or below
$25 ปริมาณ
69%
21°C
$71 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$30 ปริมาณ
18%
23°C
$10 ปริมาณ
24%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
28°C
$25 ปริมาณ
39%
29°C
$50 ปริมาณ
39%
30°C or higher
$25 ปริมาณ
66%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread thunderstorm coverage across Luzon are keeping Manila's overnight temperatures moderated, with official PAGASA observations and short-range models showing recent minimums near 24–25 °C and similar conditions expected through September 10. This pattern favors the elevated 44 % market-implied odds on 20 °C or below by allowing brief radiational cooling under heavy cloud cover, while the 34 % probability attached to 30 °C or higher reflects the broader uncertainty in exact nighttime minimums amid variable rain timing and wind shifts. Forecasters note typical early-September lows of 24–26 °C, so any deviation from model consensus on cloud thickness or wind speed could quickly shift resolution odds before the period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$236วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread thunderstorm coverage across Luzon are keeping Manila's overnight temperatures moderated, with official PAGASA observations and short-range models showing recent minimums near 24–25 °C and similar conditions expected through September 10. This pattern favors the elevated 44 % market-implied odds on 20 °C or below by allowing brief radiational cooling under heavy cloud cover, while the 34 % probability attached to 30 °C or higher reflects the broader uncertainty in exact nighttime minimums amid variable rain timing and wind shifts. Forecasters note typical early-September lows of 24–26 °C, so any deviation from model consensus on cloud thickness or wind speed could quickly shift resolution odds before the period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$236วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity and widespread thunderstorm coverage across Luzon are keeping Manila's overnight temperatures moderated, with official PAGASA observations and short-range models showing recent minimums near 24–25 °C and similar conditions expected through September 10. This pattern favors the elevated 44 % market-implied odds on 20 °C or below by allowing brief radiational cooling under heavy cloud cover, while the 34 % probability attached to 30 °C or higher reflects the broader uncertainty in exact nighttime minimums amid variable rain timing and wind shifts. Forecasters note typical early-September lows of 24–26 °C, so any deviation from model consensus on cloud thickness or wind speed could quickly shift resolution odds before the period closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย