Persistent southwest monsoon rains and high humidity (80-92%) are keeping trader odds tightly clustered around 21°C or below (39%) versus 31°C or higher (38%), with mid-range bins near 25-27°C at 29-30%, as models show limited nighttime radiative cooling under widespread cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms forecast for September 3. Official guidance indicates daily lows near 25-27°C amid 14-18 mph winds, consistent with September climatology where urban heat retention and moisture suppress drops below 24°C. New model runs and satellite observations of convective activity will refine the minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Manila on September 3?
21°C or below 76%
31°C or higher 75%
23°C 49%
29°C 49%
21°C or below
76%
22°C
5%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
31%
26°C
29%
27°C
29%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
75%
21°C or below 76%
31°C or higher 75%
23°C 49%
29°C 49%
21°C or below
76%
22°C
5%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
31%
26°C
29%
27°C
29%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
75%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon rains and high humidity (80-92%) are keeping trader odds tightly clustered around 21°C or below (39%) versus 31°C or higher (38%), with mid-range bins near 25-27°C at 29-30%, as models show limited nighttime radiative cooling under widespread cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms forecast for September 3. Official guidance indicates daily lows near 25-27°C amid 14-18 mph winds, consistent with September climatology where urban heat retention and moisture suppress drops below 24°C. New model runs and satellite observations of convective activity will refine the minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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