Recent forecasts indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 29 will likely fall between 10–12°C, with official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance pointing to around 9–11°C under variable cloud cover, light southeast winds of 3–8 m/s, and stable pressure near 755–756 mmHg. International models show slightly higher values near 12°C due to differences in simulated cloud timing and radiative cooling rates. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these three outcomes reflects genuine ensemble spread in nocturnal temperature forecasts, where modest variations in cloud persistence or wind mixing can shift the daily low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the night will likely resolve the narrow range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
11°C 49%
10°C 49%
9°C 7%
6°C <1%
$1,153 ปริมาณ
$1,153 ปริมาณ
Aug 29, 2026
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
7%
10°C
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
48%
13°C or higher
<1%
11°C 49%
10°C 49%
9°C 7%
6°C <1%
$1,153 ปริมาณ
$1,153 ปริมาณ
Aug 29, 2026
3°C or below
$35 ปริมาณ
<1%
4°C
$170 ปริมาณ
<1%
5°C
$117 ปริมาณ
<1%
6°C
$121 ปริมาณ
1%
7°C
$113 ปริมาณ
1%
8°C
$95 ปริมาณ
1%
9°C
$137 ปริมาณ
7%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
12°C
$17 ปริมาณ
48%
13°C or higher
$347 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 29 will likely fall between 10–12°C, with official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance pointing to around 9–11°C under variable cloud cover, light southeast winds of 3–8 m/s, and stable pressure near 755–756 mmHg. International models show slightly higher values near 12°C due to differences in simulated cloud timing and radiative cooling rates. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these three outcomes reflects genuine ensemble spread in nocturnal temperature forecasts, where modest variations in cloud persistence or wind mixing can shift the daily low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the night will likely resolve the narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,153วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 29 will likely fall between 10–12°C, with official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance pointing to around 9–11°C under variable cloud cover, light southeast winds of 3–8 m/s, and stable pressure near 755–756 mmHg. International models show slightly higher values near 12°C due to differences in simulated cloud timing and radiative cooling rates. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these three outcomes reflects genuine ensemble spread in nocturnal temperature forecasts, where modest variations in cloud persistence or wind mixing can shift the daily low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the night will likely resolve the narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,153วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 29 will likely fall between 10–12°C, with official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance pointing to around 9–11°C under variable cloud cover, light southeast winds of 3–8 m/s, and stable pressure near 755–756 mmHg. International models show slightly higher values near 12°C due to differences in simulated cloud timing and radiative cooling rates. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around these three outcomes reflects genuine ensemble spread in nocturnal temperature forecasts, where modest variations in cloud persistence or wind mixing can shift the daily low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the night will likely resolve the narrow range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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