**Uncertain overnight radiative cooling under variable tropical cloud cover and thunderstorm activity drives the near-even split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes.** Panama City's August climate features typical lows of 23–25°C amid the rainy season, with high humidity and light trade winds limiting nocturnal temperature drops unless skies clear sufficiently for enhanced longwave radiation loss. Recent model guidance indicates a high probability of convective storms on August 23 that could suppress cooling by maintaining cloud cover and elevated dew points near 25–27°C, while any breaks in the cloud field might allow brief dips toward the lower end of historical ranges. Traders weigh these factors against baseline climatology, producing closely matched probabilities across the 21–29°C buckets as new forecast runs refine timing and intensity of precipitation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Panama City on August 23?
20°C or below 98%
30°C or higher 96%
21°C 50%
22°C 50%
20°C or below
98%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
50%
30°C or higher
96%
20°C or below 98%
30°C or higher 96%
21°C 50%
22°C 50%
20°C or below
98%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
50%
30°C or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Uncertain overnight radiative cooling under variable tropical cloud cover and thunderstorm activity drives the near-even split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes.** Panama City's August climate features typical lows of 23–25°C amid the rainy season, with high humidity and light trade winds limiting nocturnal temperature drops unless skies clear sufficiently for enhanced longwave radiation loss. Recent model guidance indicates a high probability of convective storms on August 23 that could suppress cooling by maintaining cloud cover and elevated dew points near 25–27°C, while any breaks in the cloud field might allow brief dips toward the lower end of historical ranges. Traders weigh these factors against baseline climatology, producing closely matched probabilities across the 21–29°C buckets as new forecast runs refine timing and intensity of precipitation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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