Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul on April 29?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on April 29?
9°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$19,337 ปริมาณ
$19,337 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$19,337 ปริมาณ
$19,337 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
4°C or below
$527 ปริมาณ
No
5°C
$384 ปริมาณ
No
6°C
$548 ปริมาณ
No
7°C
$3,185 ปริมาณ
No
8°C
$3,977 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$4,768 ปริมาณ
Yes
10°C
$2,178 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$200 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$1,291 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$1,022 ปริมาณ
No
14°C or higher
$1,256 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,337วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,337วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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