**Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 15 point to an overnight low in the mid-20s Celsius, shaped by lingering subtropical humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover from recent showers.** Persistent moisture and scattered thunderstorms through the prior day reduce radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply below 24°C in most guidance, while clearer intervals could allow brief dips toward 23°C. Historical September baselines show typical lows near 24–26°C, and current ensemble runs show limited spread around that range. Trader odds remain closely split across 20–30°C brackets because small shifts in overnight cloud thickness or timing of any rain can alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C at the official station. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the outcome before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 15?
20°C or below 56%
30°C or higher 56%
22°C 38%
25°C 29%
20°C or below
56%
21°C
13%
22°C
38%
23°C
21%
24°C
25%
25°C
29%
26°C
25%
27°C
22%
28°C
21%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
56%
20°C or below 56%
30°C or higher 56%
22°C 38%
25°C 29%
20°C or below
56%
21°C
13%
22°C
38%
23°C
21%
24°C
25%
25°C
29%
26°C
25%
27°C
22%
28°C
21%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
56%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 15 point to an overnight low in the mid-20s Celsius, shaped by lingering subtropical humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover from recent showers.** Persistent moisture and scattered thunderstorms through the prior day reduce radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply below 24°C in most guidance, while clearer intervals could allow brief dips toward 23°C. Historical September baselines show typical lows near 24–26°C, and current ensemble runs show limited spread around that range. Trader odds remain closely split across 20–30°C brackets because small shifts in overnight cloud thickness or timing of any rain can alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C at the official station. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the outcome before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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