Current forecasts from Singapore’s National Environment Agency and regional models indicate southwest monsoon conditions persisting into August 24, with nighttime minimum temperatures likely holding near or above 27°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Historical climatology shows August lows averaging 25.3°C at Changi, with rare dips to 22°C or below occurring mainly during northeast monsoon cold surges rather than the current season. Recent observations confirm persistently warm, humid nights above 27°C through mid-August, supporting trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below outcome at 48% implied probability as a low-probability tail event while placing secondary weight around 25–28°C brackets consistent with typical variability and model consensus. Updated forecast runs and official minimum readings over the next 48 hours will provide the key resolution signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Singapore on August 24?
21°C or below 86%
30°C 36%
24°C 35%
22°C 34%
21°C or below
86%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
35%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
21%
28°C
22%
29°C
19%
30°C
36%
31°C or higher
2%
21°C or below 86%
30°C 36%
24°C 35%
22°C 34%
21°C or below
86%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
35%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
21%
28°C
22%
29°C
19%
30°C
36%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Singapore’s National Environment Agency and regional models indicate southwest monsoon conditions persisting into August 24, with nighttime minimum temperatures likely holding near or above 27°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Historical climatology shows August lows averaging 25.3°C at Changi, with rare dips to 22°C or below occurring mainly during northeast monsoon cold surges rather than the current season. Recent observations confirm persistently warm, humid nights above 27°C through mid-August, supporting trader emphasis on the 21°C-or-below outcome at 48% implied probability as a low-probability tail event while placing secondary weight around 25–28°C brackets consistent with typical variability and model consensus. Updated forecast runs and official minimum readings over the next 48 hours will provide the key resolution signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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