**Forecast models for September 13, 2026, indicate an overnight minimum near 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and moderate humidity around 70–90%.** This aligns with the market’s tight clustering on 27°C (31%), 28°C (30%), and 26°C (24%) outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of typical equatorial radiative cooling limited by persistent cloud cover and sea-breeze moderation. Historical September averages show nighttime lows near 25°C, but recent conditions favor slightly elevated minima due to reduced clear-sky cooling. Differentiation among the leading buckets hinges on small forecast differences in cloud timing, wind speed, and any late-evening showers that could suppress or enhance heat retention. The lower-probability “32°C or higher” (32%) outcome captures scenarios with stronger nocturnal cloud cover or higher dew points, while colder tails remain improbable given the stable tropical airmass. Official resolution will rely on Changi Airport or Meteorological Service Singapore observations, with next model updates expected to refine the exact minimum within the 26–28°C range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Singapore on September 13?
32°C or higher 64%
27°C 31%
25°C 24%
26°C 24%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
15%
25°C
24%
26°C
24%
27°C
31%
28°C
30%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
18%
32°C or higher
64%
32°C or higher 64%
27°C 31%
25°C 24%
26°C 24%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
15%
25°C
24%
26°C
24%
27°C
31%
28°C
30%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
18%
32°C or higher
64%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for September 13, 2026, indicate an overnight minimum near 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and moderate humidity around 70–90%.** This aligns with the market’s tight clustering on 27°C (31%), 28°C (30%), and 26°C (24%) outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of typical equatorial radiative cooling limited by persistent cloud cover and sea-breeze moderation. Historical September averages show nighttime lows near 25°C, but recent conditions favor slightly elevated minima due to reduced clear-sky cooling. Differentiation among the leading buckets hinges on small forecast differences in cloud timing, wind speed, and any late-evening showers that could suppress or enhance heat retention. The lower-probability “32°C or higher” (32%) outcome captures scenarios with stronger nocturnal cloud cover or higher dew points, while colder tails remain improbable given the stable tropical airmass. Official resolution will rely on Changi Airport or Meteorological Service Singapore observations, with next model updates expected to refine the exact minimum within the 26–28°C range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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