Current forecasts from models including those referenced by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration point to overnight lows near 25–26°C for Taipei on August 31, consistent with historical August averages of roughly 25°C in this subtropical setting. Widespread cloud cover, passing showers, and elevated humidity are expected to limit daytime heating and radiative cooling, supporting the market's leading 47% implied probability on 22°C or below while distributing remaining odds across 24–27°C buckets. No significant cool-air intrusion or model consensus shift has emerged in the past 48 hours to alter these expectations ahead of resolution.