Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show Tokyo’s overnight minimum on September 1 stabilizing near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity near 80–90 %, and light southeasterly flow. This range reflects the typical early-September climatological baseline of ~22.4 °C, tempered by residual warmth from late-August conditions and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, with no strong cold-air advection or heavy-rain cooling expected overnight, keeping the probability mass concentrated at 23 °C and 24 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 31 will provide the final observational constraint before the market resolves.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 1?
24°C 46%
23°C 30%
25°C 19%
21°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
30%
24°C
46%
25°C
19%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 46%
23°C 30%
25°C 19%
21°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
19°C or below
$203 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$51 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$226 ปริมาณ
5%
22°C
$331 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$290 ปริมาณ
30%
24°C
$249 ปริมาณ
46%
25°C
$276 ปริมาณ
19%
26°C
$106 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$83 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$228 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$124 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show Tokyo’s overnight minimum on September 1 stabilizing near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity near 80–90 %, and light southeasterly flow. This range reflects the typical early-September climatological baseline of ~22.4 °C, tempered by residual warmth from late-August conditions and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, with no strong cold-air advection or heavy-rain cooling expected overnight, keeping the probability mass concentrated at 23 °C and 24 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 31 will provide the final observational constraint before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,168วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show Tokyo’s overnight minimum on September 1 stabilizing near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity near 80–90 %, and light southeasterly flow. This range reflects the typical early-September climatological baseline of ~22.4 °C, tempered by residual warmth from late-August conditions and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, with no strong cold-air advection or heavy-rain cooling expected overnight, keeping the probability mass concentrated at 23 °C and 24 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 31 will provide the final observational constraint before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,168วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show Tokyo’s overnight minimum on September 1 stabilizing near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity near 80–90 %, and light southeasterly flow. This range reflects the typical early-September climatological baseline of ~22.4 °C, tempered by residual warmth from late-August conditions and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, with no strong cold-air advection or heavy-rain cooling expected overnight, keeping the probability mass concentrated at 23 °C and 24 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 31 will provide the final observational constraint before the market resolves.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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