Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 64% for the May market, reflecting the absence of triggering events through May 8 amid de-escalatory geopolitical signals. President Trump's May 5 pause of Project Freedom naval escorts in the Strait of Hormuz followed Iranian claims of a warship strike, which the U.S. denied, averting escalation short of a permanent U.S.-Iran peace deal or Tehran leadership change. Senate Republicans' repeated blocks of Iran war powers resolutions have preserved regime stability past key deadlines. WTI crude oil remains well below $150 per barrel, with no U.S. military action against Cuba, alien disclosures, or Russian invasion of a NATO country. Russia's Victory Day ceasefire proposal for May 8-9 in Ukraine signals restraint rather than NATO provocation, though 23 days remain for potential black swan developments like oil spikes or sudden military moves.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNothing Ever Happens: May
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Nothing
$55,138 ปริมาณ
$55,138 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
Nothing
$55,138 ปริมาณ
$55,138 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 64% for the May market, reflecting the absence of triggering events through May 8 amid de-escalatory geopolitical signals. President Trump's May 5 pause of Project Freedom naval escorts in the Strait of Hormuz followed Iranian claims of a warship strike, which the U.S. denied, averting escalation short of a permanent U.S.-Iran peace deal or Tehran leadership change. Senate Republicans' repeated blocks of Iran war powers resolutions have preserved regime stability past key deadlines. WTI crude oil remains well below $150 per barrel, with no U.S. military action against Cuba, alien disclosures, or Russian invasion of a NATO country. Russia's Victory Day ceasefire proposal for May 8-9 in Ukraine signals restraint rather than NATO provocation, though 23 days remain for potential black swan developments like oil spikes or sudden military moves.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,138วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 64% for the May market, reflecting the absence of triggering events through May 8 amid de-escalatory geopolitical signals. President Trump's May 5 pause of Project Freedom naval escorts in the Strait of Hormuz followed Iranian claims of a warship strike, which the U.S. denied, averting escalation short of a permanent U.S.-Iran peace deal or Tehran leadership change. Senate Republicans' repeated blocks of Iran war powers resolutions have preserved regime stability past key deadlines. WTI crude oil remains well below $150 per barrel, with no U.S. military action against Cuba, alien disclosures, or Russian invasion of a NATO country. Russia's Victory Day ceasefire proposal for May 8-9 in Ukraine signals restraint rather than NATO provocation, though 23 days remain for potential black swan developments like oil spikes or sudden military moves.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55,458วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 64% for the May market, reflecting the absence of triggering events through May 8 amid de-escalatory geopolitical signals. President Trump's May 5 pause of Project Freedom naval escorts in the Strait of Hormuz followed Iranian claims of a warship strike, which the U.S. denied, averting escalation short of a permanent U.S.-Iran peace deal or Tehran leadership change. Senate Republicans' repeated blocks of Iran war powers resolutions have preserved regime stability past key deadlines. WTI crude oil remains well below $150 per barrel, with no U.S. military action against Cuba, alien disclosures, or Russian invasion of a NATO country. Russia's Victory Day ceasefire proposal for May 8-9 in Ukraine signals restraint rather than NATO provocation, though 23 days remain for potential black swan developments like oil spikes or sudden military moves.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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