Traders assign a 100% probability to "Nothing" in the May resolution window because none of the predefined triggers materialized by the May 31 deadline. No Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement emerged, the Federal Reserve held rates steady without a cut, no Israeli or U.S. military action targeted Iran, and neither India-Pakistan conflict escalation nor a papal transition occurred. Routine diplomatic activity, legislative calendars, and agency decisions stayed within established patterns without producing the specified catalysts. With resolution now complete and volume confirming broad participation, the outcome reflects verified stability across those monitored fronts rather than forecasts of future months. Late developments after the cutoff could only affect subsequent markets.