US policy has long rejected formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over Ukrainian territory seized by force, a stance reinforced by congressional measures prohibiting any implied acceptance and recent diplomatic efforts distinguishing de facto battlefield control from de jure acknowledgment. Ongoing US-mediated talks in September 2026, involving envoys visiting Moscow and Kyiv, focus on ceasefires, security guarantees, and reconstruction without advancing legal recognition, consistent with historical precedents like the Welles Declaration. With the 2027 deadline approaching amid stalled progress on territorial issues and Ukrainian opposition, traders assign overwhelming probability against recognition occurring. A comprehensive peace agreement explicitly requiring US acknowledgment or abrupt shifts in administration priorities before the cutoff remain the primary variables that could alter this assessment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว4% โอกาส
$187,919 ปริมาณ
$187,919 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
4% โอกาส
$187,919 ปริมาณ
$187,919 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.US policy has long rejected formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over Ukrainian territory seized by force, a stance reinforced by congressional measures prohibiting any implied acceptance and recent diplomatic efforts distinguishing de facto battlefield control from de jure acknowledgment. Ongoing US-mediated talks in September 2026, involving envoys visiting Moscow and Kyiv, focus on ceasefires, security guarantees, and reconstruction without advancing legal recognition, consistent with historical precedents like the Welles Declaration. With the 2027 deadline approaching amid stalled progress on territorial issues and Ukrainian opposition, traders assign overwhelming probability against recognition occurring. A comprehensive peace agreement explicitly requiring US acknowledgment or abrupt shifts in administration priorities before the cutoff remain the primary variables that could alter this assessment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$187,919วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.US policy has long rejected formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over Ukrainian territory seized by force, a stance reinforced by congressional measures prohibiting any implied acceptance and recent diplomatic efforts distinguishing de facto battlefield control from de jure acknowledgment. Ongoing US-mediated talks in September 2026, involving envoys visiting Moscow and Kyiv, focus on ceasefires, security guarantees, and reconstruction without advancing legal recognition, consistent with historical precedents like the Welles Declaration. With the 2027 deadline approaching amid stalled progress on territorial issues and Ukrainian opposition, traders assign overwhelming probability against recognition occurring. A comprehensive peace agreement explicitly requiring US acknowledgment or abrupt shifts in administration priorities before the cutoff remain the primary variables that could alter this assessment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$187,919วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...US policy has long rejected formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over Ukrainian territory seized by force, a stance reinforced by congressional measures prohibiting any implied acceptance and recent diplomatic efforts distinguishing de facto battlefield control from de jure acknowledgment. Ongoing US-mediated talks in September 2026, involving envoys visiting Moscow and Kyiv, focus on ceasefires, security guarantees, and reconstruction without advancing legal recognition, consistent with historical precedents like the Welles Declaration. With the 2027 deadline approaching amid stalled progress on territorial issues and Ukrainian opposition, traders assign overwhelming probability against recognition occurring. A comprehensive peace agreement explicitly requiring US acknowledgment or abrupt shifts in administration priorities before the cutoff remain the primary variables that could alter this assessment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย