Skip to main content

หากต้องการเทรดในสหรัฐฯ ไปที่ polymarket.us

icon for Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

icon for Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

PSD + UDMR 14.9%

PSD + PNL + UDMR 14.8%

PSD 13.4%

PNL + USR + UDMR 9%

Polymarket

$26,709 ปริมาณ

PSD + UDMR 14.9%

PSD + PNL + UDMR 14.8%

PSD 13.4%

PNL + USR + UDMR 9%

Polymarket

$26,709 ปริมาณ

PSD + UDMR

$3,585 ปริมาณ

15%

PSD + PNL + UDMR

$3,364 ปริมาณ

15%

PSD

$428 ปริมาณ

13%

PNL + USR + UDMR

$474 ปริมาณ

7%

PNL + USR

$315 ปริมาณ

9%

PSD + AUR

$428 ปริมาณ

9%

Other

$3,944 ปริมาณ

5%

PSD + USR + UDMR

$518 ปริมาณ

5%

PSD + PNL + USR + AUR

$474 ปริมาณ

4%

PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR

$435 ปริมาณ

4%

PSD + PNL + AUR

$133 ปริมาณ

4%

PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR

$538 ปริมาณ

3%

PNL

$303 ปริมาณ

6%

UDMR

$2,099 ปริมาณ

2%

PSD + PNL

$176 ปริมาณ

2%

PSD + USR

$544 ปริมาณ

2%

PNL + UDMR

$378 ปริมาณ

2%

UDMR + AUR

$681 ปริมาณ

2%

AUR

$736 ปริมาณ

2%

PNL + UDMR + AUR

$513 ปริมาณ

1%

USR

$1,736 ปริมาณ

1%

PNL + AUR

$477 ปริมาณ

1%

PSD + UDMR + AUR

$384 ปริมาณ

1%

USR + UDMR + AUR

$626 ปริมาณ

1%

PSD + PNL + UDMR + AUR

$413 ปริมาณ

1%

PNL + USR + UDMR + AUR

$387 ปริมาณ

1%

PNL + USR + AUR

$366 ปริมาณ

1%

USR + AUR

$712 ปริมาณ

1%

PSD + USR + AUR

$366 ปริมาณ

1%

USR + UDMR

$530 ปริมาณ

6%

PSD + USR + UDMR + AUR

$464 ปริมาณ

6%

PSD + PNL + USR

$182 ปริมาณ

6%

This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation. A party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify. The following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered. Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition. For example: - If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”. In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election. If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government. If the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.**Romanian political parties remain deadlocked over forming a stable parliamentary majority more than four months after the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ended the pro-European coalition government led by PNL Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan.** PSD, the largest party in parliament, continues to push for a minority government or PSD-centered cabinet, while PNL and USR explicitly rule out renewed cooperation with PSD. UDMR has signaled openness to limited support arrangements but rejects alliances involving AUR or other far-right groups. AUR, which backed the no-confidence motion alongside PSD and now leads opinion polls near 40%, demands snap elections and holds significant blocking power without formal inclusion in most viable coalitions. President Nicușor Dan has explored technocratic or limited-mandate options focused on budget preparation, EU funds absorption, OECD accession, and fiscal targets ahead of an October sovereign rating review, but repeated nomination attempts have failed to secure the required 233 parliamentary votes. This fragmentation sustains closely matched market prices across PSD-inclusive combinations and smaller center-right groupings, with separation likely only from a confirmed majority agreement, successful PM investiture, or a decision to dissolve parliament.

This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.

A party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.

The following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.

Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.

For example:

- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.

In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.

If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.

If the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.
This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation. A party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify. The following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered. Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition. For example: - If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”. In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election. If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government. If the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,709
วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 4:46 PM ET

ผู้ตัดสินผล

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation. A party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify. The following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered. Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition. For example: - If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”. In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election. If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government. If the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.**Romanian political parties remain deadlocked over forming a stable parliamentary majority more than four months after the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ended the pro-European coalition government led by PNL Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan.** PSD, the largest party in parliament, continues to push for a minority government or PSD-centered cabinet, while PNL and USR explicitly rule out renewed cooperation with PSD. UDMR has signaled openness to limited support arrangements but rejects alliances involving AUR or other far-right groups. AUR, which backed the no-confidence motion alongside PSD and now leads opinion polls near 40%, demands snap elections and holds significant blocking power without formal inclusion in most viable coalitions. President Nicușor Dan has explored technocratic or limited-mandate options focused on budget preparation, EU funds absorption, OECD accession, and fiscal targets ahead of an October sovereign rating review, but repeated nomination attempts have failed to secure the required 233 parliamentary votes. This fragmentation sustains closely matched market prices across PSD-inclusive combinations and smaller center-right groupings, with separation likely only from a confirmed majority agreement, successful PM investiture, or a decision to dissolve parliament.

This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation.

A party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify.

The following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered.

Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition.

For example:

- If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”.

In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election.

If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government.

If the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.
This market will resolve to the first governing coalition of parties formed in Romania after market creation. A party will only be considered part of the governing coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify. The following parties will be considered for this market: Social Democratic Party (PSD); National Liberal Party (PNL); Save Romania Union (USR); Democratic Alliance of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR); Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR). All other parties will not be considered. Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition. For example: - If the governing coalition includes PSD + PNL + UDMR, the option “PSD + PNL + UDMR” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PSD + PNL” will resolve to “No”. In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the Romanian Parliament (Senate and Chamber of Deputies). If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the previous Romanian parliamentary election. If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market may resolve once the next Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government. If the next Romanian government coalition is not confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the government of Romania.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,709
วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 4:46 PM ET

ผู้ตัดสินผล

0x69c47De9D...

ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก

คำถามที่พบบ่อย

"Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?" เป็นตลาดทำนายผลบน Polymarket ที่มี 32 ผลลัพธ์ที่เป็นไปได้ โดยนักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้นตามสิ่งที่เชื่อว่าจะเกิดขึ้น ผลลัพธ์ที่นำอยู่ในปัจจุบันคือ "PSD + UDMR" ที่ 15% ตามด้วย "PSD + PNL + UDMR" ที่ 15% ราคาสะท้อนความน่าจะเป็นจากฝูงชนแบบเรียลไทม์ ตัวอย่างเช่น หุ้นที่มีราคา 15¢ หมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 15% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น อัตราเหล่านี้เปลี่ยนแปลงตลอดเวลาตามที่นักเทรดตอบสนองต่อข้อมูลและพัฒนาการใหม่ หุ้นในผลลัพธ์ที่ถูกต้องสามารถแลกได้ $1 ต่อหุ้นเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล

ณ วันนี้ "Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?" มีปริมาณการซื้อขายรวม $26.7K ตั้งแต่ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ May 11, 2026 ระดับการซื้อขายนี้สะท้อนถึงการมีส่วนร่วมอย่างมากจากชุมชน Polymarket และช่วยให้อัตราปัจจุบันได้รับข้อมูลจากผู้เข้าร่วมตลาดจำนวนมาก คุณสามารถติดตามการเคลื่อนไหวของราคาแบบสดและเทรดผลลัพธ์ใดก็ได้จากหน้านี้โดยตรง

ในการเทรด "Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?" ดู 32 ผลลัพธ์ที่มีในหน้านี้ แต่ละผลลัพธ์แสดงราคาปัจจุบันที่เป็นตัวแทนความน่าจะเป็นโดยนัยของตลาด เลือกผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเชื่อว่ามีโอกาสสูงสุด เลือก "Yes" เพื่อเทรดสนับสนุนหรือ "No" เพื่อเทรดคัดค้าน ใส่จำนวนเงินแล้วกด "Trade" ถ้าผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเลือกถูกต้องเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล หุ้น "Yes" ของคุณจ่าย $1 ต่อหุ้น ถ้าไม่ถูกต้อง จ่าย $0 คุณยังสามารถขายหุ้นได้ตลอดเวลาก่อนการตัดสินผลหากต้องการล็อกกำไรหรือตัดขาดทุน

ตัวเต็งปัจจุบันสำหรับ "Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?" คือ "PSD + UDMR" ที่ 15% ซึ่งหมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 15% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น ผลลัพธ์ที่ตามมาคือ "PSD + PNL + UDMR" ที่ 15% อัตราเหล่านี้อัปเดตแบบเรียลไทม์ตามที่นักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้น จึงสะท้อนมุมมองรวมล่าสุดว่าอะไรมีโอกาสเกิดขึ้นมากที่สุด กลับมาดูบ่อยๆ หรือบุ๊กมาร์กหน้านี้เพื่อติดตามว่าอัตราเปลี่ยนไปอย่างไรเมื่อมีข้อมูลใหม่

กฎการตัดสินผลของ "Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?" กำหนดอย่างชัดเจนว่าต้องเกิดอะไรขึ้นเพื่อให้แต่ละผลลัพธ์ถูกประกาศเป็นผู้ชนะ รวมถึงแหล่งข้อมูลอย่างเป็นทางการที่ใช้ตัดสินผล คุณสามารถตรวจสอบเกณฑ์การตัดสินผลทั้งหมดได้ในส่วน "กฎ" บนหน้านี้เหนือความคิดเห็น เราแนะนำให้อ่านกฎอย่างละเอียดก่อนเทรด เพราะกฎระบุเงื่อนไขเฉพาะ กรณีพิเศษ และแหล่งข้อมูลที่ควบคุมการตัดสินตลาดนี้