Russian forces maintain control over most of Myrnohrad in Donetsk Oblast following advances that secured the city earlier in 2026, with Ukrainian units now focused on defensive positions in the broader Pokrovsk sector amid ongoing clashes. Recent reports indicate Russia remains the most active in this direction, conducting repeated assaults while Ukrainian brigades repel attacks and conduct targeted strikes on Russian logistics and drone hubs. Ukrainian counteroffensives have produced gains north of Lyman, disrupting Russian salients and delaying pressure on the Fortress Belt cities, yet these operations have not extended to Myrnohrad. Trader assessments of re-entry probabilities reflect the entrenched frontline dynamics, Russian numerical advantages in the sector, and the absence of confirmed Ukrainian breakthroughs in the immediate area. Scheduled Ukrainian force rotations and Russian consolidation efforts could influence near-term movements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?
$123,979 ปริมาณ
December 31
10%
$123,979 ปริมาณ
December 31
10%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Russian forces maintain control over most of Myrnohrad in Donetsk Oblast following advances that secured the city earlier in 2026, with Ukrainian units now focused on defensive positions in the broader Pokrovsk sector amid ongoing clashes. Recent reports indicate Russia remains the most active in this direction, conducting repeated assaults while Ukrainian brigades repel attacks and conduct targeted strikes on Russian logistics and drone hubs. Ukrainian counteroffensives have produced gains north of Lyman, disrupting Russian salients and delaying pressure on the Fortress Belt cities, yet these operations have not extended to Myrnohrad. Trader assessments of re-entry probabilities reflect the entrenched frontline dynamics, Russian numerical advantages in the sector, and the absence of confirmed Ukrainian breakthroughs in the immediate area. Scheduled Ukrainian force rotations and Russian consolidation efforts could influence near-term movements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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