Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF indicates a maximum temperature near 16°C in Helsinki on September 13, driven by southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and limited solar heating. This aligns with the seasonal average high of 15.9°C and explains the market's strong weighting toward 16°C. Ensemble runs show low spread around this value, with only modest upside risk to 17°C if breaks in cloud cover develop. Traders appear to discount warmer outliers given consistent guidance for stable autumn conditions and no significant warm advection expected before resolution at midnight local time.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Helsinki on September 13?
16°C 66%
15°C 20%
17°C 14%
14°C 3%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
20%
16°C
66%
17°C
14%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 66%
15°C 20%
17°C 14%
14°C 3%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
20%
16°C
66%
17°C
14%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF indicates a maximum temperature near 16°C in Helsinki on September 13, driven by southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and limited solar heating. This aligns with the seasonal average high of 15.9°C and explains the market's strong weighting toward 16°C. Ensemble runs show low spread around this value, with only modest upside risk to 17°C if breaks in cloud cover develop. Traders appear to discount warmer outliers given consistent guidance for stable autumn conditions and no significant warm advection expected before resolution at midnight local time.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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