**Forecast models from multiple sources, including AccuWeather, the Met Office, BBC Weather, and timeanddate, indicate a daytime high near 26°C (79°F) for Jinan on August 13, 2026, under light rain or showers with possible overcast skies.** This consensus supports the market's strong 91% implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflecting typical mid-August conditions in Shandong where seasonal averages reach 29–30°C but recent typhoon-related moisture (such as from Dolphin) has introduced cloud cover and precipitation that caps extreme heat while still allowing temperatures to reach or slightly exceed the threshold. Historical August highs in Jinan often exceed 30°C under clearer conditions, yet current steering patterns and model runs favor moderated values. Realistic challenges to the dominant outcome include a stronger or more persistent rain event or an unexpected shift in the post-typhoon air mass that keeps readings at or below 25°C, though most ensemble guidance assigns low odds to such cooling. Updated NMC or CMA model runs on August 12–13 will provide the clearest near-term signals for traders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Jinan on August 13?
26°C or higher 88%
25°C 4%
20°C <1%
24°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
88%
26°C or higher 88%
25°C 4%
20°C <1%
24°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources, including AccuWeather, the Met Office, BBC Weather, and timeanddate, indicate a daytime high near 26°C (79°F) for Jinan on August 13, 2026, under light rain or showers with possible overcast skies.** This consensus supports the market's strong 91% implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflecting typical mid-August conditions in Shandong where seasonal averages reach 29–30°C but recent typhoon-related moisture (such as from Dolphin) has introduced cloud cover and precipitation that caps extreme heat while still allowing temperatures to reach or slightly exceed the threshold. Historical August highs in Jinan often exceed 30°C under clearer conditions, yet current steering patterns and model runs favor moderated values. Realistic challenges to the dominant outcome include a stronger or more persistent rain event or an unexpected shift in the post-typhoon air mass that keeps readings at or below 25°C, though most ensemble guidance assigns low odds to such cooling. Updated NMC or CMA model runs on August 12–13 will provide the clearest near-term signals for traders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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