Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 24°C high on August 7 in Mexico City reflects official meteorological observations confirming that exact maximum, consistent with typical August conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where daytime peaks rarely exceed 24–25°C during the rainy season. National weather service data and station measurements align with climatological norms showing highs clustered near 22–24°C amid afternoon convection, with no model runs or observational updates indicating deviations. This near-certainty stems from real-time verification rather than forecasts, leaving minimal room for revision unless subsequent quality-controlled data releases adjust the peak by even 1°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 7?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 7?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$21,452 Vol.
$21,452 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$21,452 Vol.
$21,452 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
17°C or below
$1,306 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,463 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$926 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$720 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$738 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,350 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,339 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,059 Vol.
100%
25°C
$3,043 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,982 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,526 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 24°C high on August 7 in Mexico City reflects official meteorological observations confirming that exact maximum, consistent with typical August conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where daytime peaks rarely exceed 24–25°C during the rainy season. National weather service data and station measurements align with climatological norms showing highs clustered near 22–24°C amid afternoon convection, with no model runs or observational updates indicating deviations. This near-certainty stems from real-time verification rather than forecasts, leaving minimal room for revision unless subsequent quality-controlled data releases adjust the peak by even 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$21,452Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 24°C high on August 7 in Mexico City reflects official meteorological observations confirming that exact maximum, consistent with typical August conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where daytime peaks rarely exceed 24–25°C during the rainy season. National weather service data and station measurements align with climatological norms showing highs clustered near 22–24°C amid afternoon convection, with no model runs or observational updates indicating deviations. This near-certainty stems from real-time verification rather than forecasts, leaving minimal room for revision unless subsequent quality-controlled data releases adjust the peak by even 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,452Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 24°C high on August 7 in Mexico City reflects official meteorological observations confirming that exact maximum, consistent with typical August conditions at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where daytime peaks rarely exceed 24–25°C during the rainy season. National weather service data and station measurements align with climatological norms showing highs clustered near 22–24°C amid afternoon convection, with no model runs or observational updates indicating deviations. This near-certainty stems from real-time verification rather than forecasts, leaving minimal room for revision unless subsequent quality-controlled data releases adjust the peak by even 1°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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