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Halalan·House Primary

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Halalan·House Primary

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Lindsay James 63%

Clint Twedt-Ball 22%

Kathy Dolter 17%

Guy Morgan 3.5%

Polymarket
BAGO

Lindsay James 63%

Clint Twedt-Ball 22%

Kathy Dolter 17%

Guy Morgan 3.5%

Polymarket
BAGO

Lindsay James

$2,180 Vol.

57%

Clint Twedt-Ball

$1,111 Vol.

31%

Kathy Dolter

$1,430 Vol.

17%

Guy Morgan

$618 Vol.

3%

Don Primus

$535 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Lindsay James leads trader consensus at 56% implied probability in the IA-02 Democratic primary on June 2, 2026, driven by her commanding fundraising edge—$742,000 raised and $434,000 cash on hand as of March 31 per FEC reports—bolstered by endorsements from EMILY's List and End Citizens United. Recent April 17 disclosures highlight James outpacing rivals, reinforcing her state representative name recognition from Dubuque. Clint Twedt-Ball trails at 28.5% with $465,000 raised and a new Cedar Rapids field office opened April 8, signaling grassroots momentum as Matthew 25 nonprofit founder. Kathy Dolter lags at 16.5% amid weaker $54,000 fundraising. Absent public polling, traders weigh financials and incumbency-like visibility in this open R+4 district race, with early voting starting May 13.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,874
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 25, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Lindsay James leads trader consensus at 56% implied probability in the IA-02 Democratic primary on June 2, 2026, driven by her commanding fundraising edge—$742,000 raised and $434,000 cash on hand as of March 31 per FEC reports—bolstered by endorsements from EMILY's List and End Citizens United. Recent April 17 disclosures highlight James outpacing rivals, reinforcing her state representative name recognition from Dubuque. Clint Twedt-Ball trails at 28.5% with $465,000 raised and a new Cedar Rapids field office opened April 8, signaling grassroots momentum as Matthew 25 nonprofit founder. Kathy Dolter lags at 16.5% amid weaker $54,000 fundraising. Absent public polling, traders weigh financials and incumbency-like visibility in this open R+4 district race, with early voting starting May 13.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,874
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 25, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Lindsay James" sa 57%, sinusundan ng "Clint Twedt-Ball" sa 31%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 57¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 57% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Feb 25, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Lindsay James" sa 57%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 57% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Clint Twedt-Ball" sa 31%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.