**Forecast models indicate a mild overnight period for Amsterdam on September 3, 2026, with the lowest temperature most likely falling in the 16–19°C range.** Southwesterly winds at 10–19 mph (16–31 km/h), combined with extensive cloud cover, showers, and high humidity (often 80–95%), limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep surface temperatures elevated relative to the long-term average low of ~12°C. Multiple sources, including GFS-based runs and detailed hourly guidance, show early-morning readings stabilizing near 17–19°C (roughly 63–66°F) before daytime highs reach 21–22°C. Recent Septembers have also trended warmer than climatology, with 2024 and 2025 lows of 17.1°C and 16.5°C reinforcing the current pattern. Trader probabilities reflect this: the 43.5% market-implied chance on “22°C or higher” for the daily minimum captures upside risk from limited cooling, while the combined weight on 16–17°C (over 50%) aligns with the consensus minimum under the prevailing mild, moist airmass. Key variables that could shift the outcome include any unexpected clearing that allows stronger cooling or a faster-moving front; however, the latest model consensus points to continued westerly flow and precipitation chances through the night, supporting the observed clustering of probabilities around mid-to-upper teens Celsius.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 3?
22°C or higher 87%
17°C 27%
16°C 27%
18°C 27%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 3, 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
6%
15°C
10%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
11%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
87%
22°C or higher 87%
17°C 27%
16°C 27%
18°C 27%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 3, 2026
12°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
13°C
$65 Vol.
2%
14°C
$2 Vol.
6%
15°C
$0 Vol.
10%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
11%
20°C
$5 Vol.
4%
21°C
$5 Vol.
3%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a mild overnight period for Amsterdam on September 3, 2026, with the lowest temperature most likely falling in the 16–19°C range.** Southwesterly winds at 10–19 mph (16–31 km/h), combined with extensive cloud cover, showers, and high humidity (often 80–95%), limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep surface temperatures elevated relative to the long-term average low of ~12°C.
Multiple sources, including GFS-based runs and detailed hourly guidance, show early-morning readings stabilizing near 17–19°C (roughly 63–66°F) before daytime highs reach 21–22°C. Recent Septembers have also trended warmer than climatology, with 2024 and 2025 lows of 17.1°C and 16.5°C reinforcing the current pattern. Trader probabilities reflect this: the 43.5% market-implied chance on “22°C or higher” for the daily minimum captures upside risk from limited cooling, while the combined weight on 16–17°C (over 50%) aligns with the consensus minimum under the prevailing mild, moist airmass.
Key variables that could shift the outcome include any unexpected clearing that allows stronger cooling or a faster-moving front; however, the latest model consensus points to continued westerly flow and precipitation chances through the night, supporting the observed clustering of probabilities around mid-to-upper teens Celsius.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$87Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a mild overnight period for Amsterdam on September 3, 2026, with the lowest temperature most likely falling in the 16–19°C range.** Southwesterly winds at 10–19 mph (16–31 km/h), combined with extensive cloud cover, showers, and high humidity (often 80–95%), limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep surface temperatures elevated relative to the long-term average low of ~12°C.
Multiple sources, including GFS-based runs and detailed hourly guidance, show early-morning readings stabilizing near 17–19°C (roughly 63–66°F) before daytime highs reach 21–22°C. Recent Septembers have also trended warmer than climatology, with 2024 and 2025 lows of 17.1°C and 16.5°C reinforcing the current pattern. Trader probabilities reflect this: the 43.5% market-implied chance on “22°C or higher” for the daily minimum captures upside risk from limited cooling, while the combined weight on 16–17°C (over 50%) aligns with the consensus minimum under the prevailing mild, moist airmass.
Key variables that could shift the outcome include any unexpected clearing that allows stronger cooling or a faster-moving front; however, the latest model consensus points to continued westerly flow and precipitation chances through the night, supporting the observed clustering of probabilities around mid-to-upper teens Celsius.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$87Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a mild overnight period for Amsterdam on September 3, 2026, with the lowest temperature most likely falling in the 16–19°C range.** Southwesterly winds at 10–19 mph (16–31 km/h), combined with extensive cloud cover, showers, and high humidity (often 80–95%), limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep surface temperatures elevated relative to the long-term average low of ~12°C. Multiple sources, including GFS-based runs and detailed hourly guidance, show early-morning readings stabilizing near 17–19°C (roughly 63–66°F) before daytime highs reach 21–22°C. Recent Septembers have also trended warmer than climatology, with 2024 and 2025 lows of 17.1°C and 16.5°C reinforcing the current pattern. Trader probabilities reflect this: the 43.5% market-implied chance on “22°C or higher” for the daily minimum captures upside risk from limited cooling, while the combined weight on 16–17°C (over 50%) aligns with the consensus minimum under the prevailing mild, moist airmass. Key variables that could shift the outcome include any unexpected clearing that allows stronger cooling or a faster-moving front; however, the latest model consensus points to continued westerly flow and precipitation chances through the night, supporting the observed clustering of probabilities around mid-to-upper teens Celsius.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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