Trader consensus at 100% for a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong on August 22 stems from verified observations by the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded that exact low during overnight hours under stable subtropical conditions. Late-summer atmospheric patterns, including light winds and moderate humidity, typically prevent sharper nocturnal cooling in the urban heat island, matching climatological baselines for the period. Official station data and quality-controlled records underpin this outcome, with the market reflecting skin-in-the-game confidence in those measurements. Only an unlikely post-release revision to the observatory’s dataset or a shift in the precise definition of “lowest temperature” would realistically alter resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$39,427 Vol.
$39,427 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$39,427 Vol.
$39,427 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Trader consensus at 100% for a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong on August 22 stems from verified observations by the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded that exact low during overnight hours under stable subtropical conditions. Late-summer atmospheric patterns, including light winds and moderate humidity, typically prevent sharper nocturnal cooling in the urban heat island, matching climatological baselines for the period. Official station data and quality-controlled records underpin this outcome, with the market reflecting skin-in-the-game confidence in those measurements. Only an unlikely post-release revision to the observatory’s dataset or a shift in the precise definition of “lowest temperature” would realistically alter resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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