**A frontal system moving across southern Germany is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market odds around 12–14°C for Munich’s minimum temperature on September 9.** Westerly flow and widespread showers or thunderstorms, with 70–90% probability in most models, will increase cloud cover and limit overnight radiative cooling while also capping daytime highs near 20–22°C. Ensemble guidance and operational runs from ECMWF and ICON place the overnight low in the 12–15°C range, consistent with the historical September average low of ~11°C but elevated by the moist, cloudy regime. Minor model differences in precipitation timing and wind speed create the narrow spread among the leading outcomes, with traders weighting the most probable 12–13°C values highest. Updated model runs and official DWD guidance on the morning of September 9 remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Munich on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 9?
12°C 34%
13°C 29%
14°C 25%
11°C 22%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 9, 2026
8°C or below
4%
9°C
5%
10°C
16%
11°C
22%
12°C
34%
13°C
29%
14°C
25%
15°C
5%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
12%
12°C 34%
13°C 29%
14°C 25%
11°C 22%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 9, 2026
8°C or below
$88 Vol.
4%
9°C
$20 Vol.
5%
10°C
$5 Vol.
16%
11°C
$0 Vol.
22%
12°C
$0 Vol.
34%
13°C
$4 Vol.
29%
14°C
$4 Vol.
25%
15°C
$63 Vol.
5%
16°C
$0 Vol.
7%
17°C
$145 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$40 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A frontal system moving across southern Germany is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market odds around 12–14°C for Munich’s minimum temperature on September 9.** Westerly flow and widespread showers or thunderstorms, with 70–90% probability in most models, will increase cloud cover and limit overnight radiative cooling while also capping daytime highs near 20–22°C. Ensemble guidance and operational runs from ECMWF and ICON place the overnight low in the 12–15°C range, consistent with the historical September average low of ~11°C but elevated by the moist, cloudy regime. Minor model differences in precipitation timing and wind speed create the narrow spread among the leading outcomes, with traders weighting the most probable 12–13°C values highest. Updated model runs and official DWD guidance on the morning of September 9 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$368Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A frontal system moving across southern Germany is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market odds around 12–14°C for Munich’s minimum temperature on September 9.** Westerly flow and widespread showers or thunderstorms, with 70–90% probability in most models, will increase cloud cover and limit overnight radiative cooling while also capping daytime highs near 20–22°C. Ensemble guidance and operational runs from ECMWF and ICON place the overnight low in the 12–15°C range, consistent with the historical September average low of ~11°C but elevated by the moist, cloudy regime. Minor model differences in precipitation timing and wind speed create the narrow spread among the leading outcomes, with traders weighting the most probable 12–13°C values highest. Updated model runs and official DWD guidance on the morning of September 9 remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$368Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**A frontal system moving across southern Germany is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market odds around 12–14°C for Munich’s minimum temperature on September 9.** Westerly flow and widespread showers or thunderstorms, with 70–90% probability in most models, will increase cloud cover and limit overnight radiative cooling while also capping daytime highs near 20–22°C. Ensemble guidance and operational runs from ECMWF and ICON place the overnight low in the 12–15°C range, consistent with the historical September average low of ~11°C but elevated by the moist, cloudy regime. Minor model differences in precipitation timing and wind speed create the narrow spread among the leading outcomes, with traders weighting the most probable 12–13°C values highest. Updated model runs and official DWD guidance on the morning of September 9 remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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