Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 14 most likely between 22–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover overnight. This tight clustering around 23–25°C, reflected in market-implied odds of 30–39% for those outcomes, stems from subtle differences in simulated radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and Mediterranean sea-breeze timing that can shift the nocturnal low by 1–2°C. Clear skies favor stronger cooling toward 23°C, while slightly higher humidity or variable winds support 24–25°C; historical September minima average near 23°C, providing context for the current forecast spread. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 14?
19°C or below 77%
24°C 44%
25°C 39%
23°C 26%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 14, 2026
19°C or below
77%
20°C
18%
21°C
23%
22°C
15%
23°C
26%
24°C
35%
25°C
27%
26°C
25%
27°C
18%
28°C
17%
29°C or higher
13%
19°C or below 77%
24°C 44%
25°C 39%
23°C 26%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 14, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
77%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C
$0 Vol.
23%
22°C
$3 Vol.
15%
23°C
$3 Vol.
26%
24°C
$10 Vol.
35%
25°C
$3 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
25%
27°C
$0 Vol.
18%
28°C
$0 Vol.
17%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 14 most likely between 22–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover overnight. This tight clustering around 23–25°C, reflected in market-implied odds of 30–39% for those outcomes, stems from subtle differences in simulated radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and Mediterranean sea-breeze timing that can shift the nocturnal low by 1–2°C. Clear skies favor stronger cooling toward 23°C, while slightly higher humidity or variable winds support 24–25°C; historical September minima average near 23°C, providing context for the current forecast spread. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$18Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 14 most likely between 22–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover overnight. This tight clustering around 23–25°C, reflected in market-implied odds of 30–39% for those outcomes, stems from subtle differences in simulated radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and Mediterranean sea-breeze timing that can shift the nocturnal low by 1–2°C. Clear skies favor stronger cooling toward 23°C, while slightly higher humidity or variable winds support 24–25°C; historical September minima average near 23°C, providing context for the current forecast spread. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 14 most likely between 22–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover overnight. This tight clustering around 23–25°C, reflected in market-implied odds of 30–39% for those outcomes, stems from subtle differences in simulated radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and Mediterranean sea-breeze timing that can shift the nocturnal low by 1–2°C. Clear skies favor stronger cooling toward 23°C, while slightly higher humidity or variable winds support 24–25°C; historical September minima average near 23°C, providing context for the current forecast spread. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong