Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS data aligned with Japan Meteorological Agency observations, indicate Tokyo will see a minimum temperature of 21°C on September 12 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow that limits overnight radiative cooling. This positions 21°C as the dominant market outcome at 96% implied probability, consistent with current readings hovering near 21–22°C and historical September baselines around 20–23°C. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in these stable mild conditions, though localized variations at the official monitoring station or a sharper-than-expected frontal passage could shift the recorded low into the 20°C range. Updated model guidance later today remains the key near-term catalyst.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 12?
21°C 96%
20°C 3%
19°C 1.1%
18°C <1%
$6,437 Vol.
$6,437 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
96%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 96%
20°C 3%
19°C 1.1%
18°C <1%
$6,437 Vol.
$6,437 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
16°C or below
$87 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$254 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,621 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,552 Vol.
3%
21°C
$2,467 Vol.
96%
22°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$63 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS data aligned with Japan Meteorological Agency observations, indicate Tokyo will see a minimum temperature of 21°C on September 12 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow that limits overnight radiative cooling. This positions 21°C as the dominant market outcome at 96% implied probability, consistent with current readings hovering near 21–22°C and historical September baselines around 20–23°C. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in these stable mild conditions, though localized variations at the official monitoring station or a sharper-than-expected frontal passage could shift the recorded low into the 20°C range. Updated model guidance later today remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$6,437Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS data aligned with Japan Meteorological Agency observations, indicate Tokyo will see a minimum temperature of 21°C on September 12 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow that limits overnight radiative cooling. This positions 21°C as the dominant market outcome at 96% implied probability, consistent with current readings hovering near 21–22°C and historical September baselines around 20–23°C. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in these stable mild conditions, though localized variations at the official monitoring station or a sharper-than-expected frontal passage could shift the recorded low into the 20°C range. Updated model guidance later today remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,437Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS data aligned with Japan Meteorological Agency observations, indicate Tokyo will see a minimum temperature of 21°C on September 12 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow that limits overnight radiative cooling. This positions 21°C as the dominant market outcome at 96% implied probability, consistent with current readings hovering near 21–22°C and historical September baselines around 20–23°C. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in these stable mild conditions, though localized variations at the official monitoring station or a sharper-than-expected frontal passage could shift the recorded low into the 20°C range. Updated model guidance later today remains the key near-term catalyst.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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