**Forecast models from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and GFS runs indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Tokyo on September 13, aligning with the market’s leading 49% implied probability on 21°C.** Overnight conditions following daytime rain and overcast skies on September 12 feature light northerly winds, high humidity near 85–90%, and lingering cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup favors a mild low around 21°C rather than sharper drops to 19°C or below, consistent with recent observations of 20–22°C lows amid a humid, post-frontal pattern. Historical September baselines average near 19°C, but current steering patterns and moisture retention support the warmer cluster. Updated model guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine resolution odds for this narrow temperature band.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 13?
21°C 49%
22°C 16%
20°C 12%
19°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 13, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
16%
20°C
12%
21°C
49%
22°C
16%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 49%
22°C 16%
20°C 12%
19°C 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 13, 2026
17°C or below
$110 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$49 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$14 Vol.
16%
20°C
$123 Vol.
12%
21°C
$885 Vol.
49%
22°C
$973 Vol.
16%
23°C
$600 Vol.
4%
24°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$49 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$49 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and GFS runs indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Tokyo on September 13, aligning with the market’s leading 49% implied probability on 21°C.** Overnight conditions following daytime rain and overcast skies on September 12 feature light northerly winds, high humidity near 85–90%, and lingering cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup favors a mild low around 21°C rather than sharper drops to 19°C or below, consistent with recent observations of 20–22°C lows amid a humid, post-frontal pattern. Historical September baselines average near 19°C, but current steering patterns and moisture retention support the warmer cluster. Updated model guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine resolution odds for this narrow temperature band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,117Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and GFS runs indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Tokyo on September 13, aligning with the market’s leading 49% implied probability on 21°C.** Overnight conditions following daytime rain and overcast skies on September 12 feature light northerly winds, high humidity near 85–90%, and lingering cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup favors a mild low around 21°C rather than sharper drops to 19°C or below, consistent with recent observations of 20–22°C lows amid a humid, post-frontal pattern. Historical September baselines average near 19°C, but current steering patterns and moisture retention support the warmer cluster. Updated model guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine resolution odds for this narrow temperature band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,117Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and GFS runs indicate a minimum temperature near 21–22°C for Tokyo on September 13, aligning with the market’s leading 49% implied probability on 21°C.** Overnight conditions following daytime rain and overcast skies on September 12 feature light northerly winds, high humidity near 85–90%, and lingering cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup favors a mild low around 21°C rather than sharper drops to 19°C or below, consistent with recent observations of 20–22°C lows amid a humid, post-frontal pattern. Historical September baselines average near 19°C, but current steering patterns and moisture retention support the warmer cluster. Updated model guidance ahead of the overnight period will refine resolution odds for this narrow temperature band.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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