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icon for Republika Srpska Presidential Election
Halalan·Main Election

Republika Srpska Presidential Election

icon for Republika Srpska Presidential Election
Halalan·Main Election

Republika Srpska Presidential Election

Savo Minić 60%

Branko Blanuša 37%

Ćamil Duraković 3.6%

Begija Smajić 3.5%

Polymarket
BAGO

Savo Minić 60%

Branko Blanuša 37%

Ćamil Duraković 3.6%

Begija Smajić 3.5%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Savo Minić

Savo Minić

$589 Vol.

60%

icon for Branko Blanuša

Branko Blanuša

$443 Vol.

37%

icon for Ćamil Duraković

Ćamil Duraković

$108 Vol.

4%

icon for Begija Smajić

Begija Smajić

$108 Vol.

4%

icon for Jusuf Arifagić

Jusuf Arifagić

$119 Vol.

4%

icon for Bogdan Jovanović

Bogdan Jovanović

$45 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ramiz Salkić

Ramiz Salkić

$101 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ivan Begić

Ivan Begić

$79 Vol.

<1%

icon for Igor Balukčić

Igor Balukčić

$101 Vol.

<1%

icon for Franjo Jukić

Franjo Jukić

$101 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marko Jorgić

Marko Jorgić

$81 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ivo Kamenjašević

Ivo Kamenjašević

$81 Vol.

<1%

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Savo Minić holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Republika Srpska presidential race due to his nomination as the candidate of the ruling SNSD-led coalition, which secured unified backing from coalition partners in June 2026. As incumbent prime minister since September 2025, Minić benefits from the party's established organizational strength and performance patterns in prior entity-level contests ahead of the October 4, 2026, general elections. Branko Blanuša of the SDS serves as the primary opposition challenger but trails amid a fragmented field that includes multiple candidates for vice-presidential roles. Lower-probability outcomes for figures such as Begija Smajić, Ćamil Duraković, and others reflect limited party infrastructure and voter bases, while the broader market pricing incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency and coalition coordination in the Serb-majority entity.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,954
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.izbori.ba/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Savo Minić holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Republika Srpska presidential race due to his nomination as the candidate of the ruling SNSD-led coalition, which secured unified backing from coalition partners in June 2026. As incumbent prime minister since September 2025, Minić benefits from the party's established organizational strength and performance patterns in prior entity-level contests ahead of the October 4, 2026, general elections. Branko Blanuša of the SDS serves as the primary opposition challenger but trails amid a fragmented field that includes multiple candidates for vice-presidential roles. Lower-probability outcomes for figures such as Begija Smajić, Ćamil Duraković, and others reflect limited party infrastructure and voter bases, while the broader market pricing incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency and coalition coordination in the Serb-majority entity.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,954
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.izbori.ba/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Republika Srpska Presidential Election" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 12 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Savo Minić" sa 60%, sinusundan ng "Branko Blanuša" sa 37%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 60¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 60% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Republika Srpska Presidential Election" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 24, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Republika Srpska Presidential Election," i-browse ang 12 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Republika Srpska Presidential Election" ay "Savo Minić" sa 60%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 60% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Branko Blanuša" sa 37%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Republika Srpska Presidential Election" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.