The July 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act raised the statutory debt limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, placing federal debt subject to the limit well below the new cap through mid-2026 and deferring the next potential constraint until 2027. Treasury retains routine borrowing authority plus extraordinary measures that can extend operations for months after any breach. Congress has raised, suspended, or revised the debt limit more than seventy times since 1960, consistently averting default through last-minute legislation. Bipartisan Policy Center projections place the X-date between late winter and mid-summer 2027, leaving ample time for negotiations before any payment failure. No scheduled votes, procedural deadlines, or fiscal developments currently indicate elevated default risk within the resolution window, supporting traders’ strong consensus against a breach by the end of 2027.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateUS defaults on debt by 2027?
US defaults on debt by 2027?
$15,070 Vol.
$15,070 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$15,070 Vol.
$15,070 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.The July 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act raised the statutory debt limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, placing federal debt subject to the limit well below the new cap through mid-2026 and deferring the next potential constraint until 2027. Treasury retains routine borrowing authority plus extraordinary measures that can extend operations for months after any breach. Congress has raised, suspended, or revised the debt limit more than seventy times since 1960, consistently averting default through last-minute legislation. Bipartisan Policy Center projections place the X-date between late winter and mid-summer 2027, leaving ample time for negotiations before any payment failure. No scheduled votes, procedural deadlines, or fiscal developments currently indicate elevated default risk within the resolution window, supporting traders’ strong consensus against a breach by the end of 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ET
Volume
$15,070Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.The July 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act raised the statutory debt limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, placing federal debt subject to the limit well below the new cap through mid-2026 and deferring the next potential constraint until 2027. Treasury retains routine borrowing authority plus extraordinary measures that can extend operations for months after any breach. Congress has raised, suspended, or revised the debt limit more than seventy times since 1960, consistently averting default through last-minute legislation. Bipartisan Policy Center projections place the X-date between late winter and mid-summer 2027, leaving ample time for negotiations before any payment failure. No scheduled votes, procedural deadlines, or fiscal developments currently indicate elevated default risk within the resolution window, supporting traders’ strong consensus against a breach by the end of 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
Volume
$15,070Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The July 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act raised the statutory debt limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, placing federal debt subject to the limit well below the new cap through mid-2026 and deferring the next potential constraint until 2027. Treasury retains routine borrowing authority plus extraordinary measures that can extend operations for months after any breach. Congress has raised, suspended, or revised the debt limit more than seventy times since 1960, consistently averting default through last-minute legislation. Bipartisan Policy Center projections place the X-date between late winter and mid-summer 2027, leaving ample time for negotiations before any payment failure. No scheduled votes, procedural deadlines, or fiscal developments currently indicate elevated default risk within the resolution window, supporting traders’ strong consensus against a breach by the end of 2027.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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