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Politika·Israel

Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?

Market icon
Politika·Israel

Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$553,345 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$553,345 Vol.

Polymarket
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? icon

United States

$9,132 Vol.

10%

Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? icon

Italy

$11,207 Vol.

22%

Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? icon

The Netherlands

$30,243 Vol.

16%

Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? icon

Japan

$33,643 Vol.

17%

Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? icon

Germany

$38,186 Vol.

5%

Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? icon

Belgium

$63,811 Vol.

24%

Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027? icon

Finland

$36,552 Vol.

6%

Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027? icon

Austria

$171,583 Vol.

11%

Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027? icon

Greece

$44,669 Vol.

8%

Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? icon

New Zealand

$114,319 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.No new diplomatic recognitions of Palestinian statehood have occurred in the past 30 days, stabilizing trader sentiment after the September 2025 surge at the UN General Assembly's 80th session, where the UK, Canada, Australia, France, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Andorra, and Portugal joined, raising the total to 157 UN members—over 81% of states. This momentum stemmed from heightened calls for a two-state solution amid Gaza ceasefire talks and European foreign policy shifts. Holdouts like the US, Germany, Italy, Japan, and South Korea face domestic opposition and Israel alliance pressures, limiting near-term prospects. Key watches before 2027 include EU summits, Arab League diplomacy, and bilateral announcements tied to peace negotiations or UN resolutions.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$553,345
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.No new diplomatic recognitions of Palestinian statehood have occurred in the past 30 days, stabilizing trader sentiment after the September 2025 surge at the UN General Assembly's 80th session, where the UK, Canada, Australia, France, Belgium, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Andorra, and Portugal joined, raising the total to 157 UN members—over 81% of states. This momentum stemmed from heightened calls for a two-state solution amid Gaza ceasefire talks and European foreign policy shifts. Holdouts like the US, Germany, Italy, Japan, and South Korea face domestic opposition and Israel alliance pressures, limiting near-term prospects. Key watches before 2027 include EU summits, Arab League diplomacy, and bilateral announcements tied to peace negotiations or UN resolutions.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$553,345
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Belgium" sa 24%, sinusundan ng "Italy" sa 22%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 24¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 24% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?" ay naka-generate ng $553.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 5, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?," i-browse ang 10 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?" ay "Belgium" sa 24%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 24% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Italy" sa 22%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.