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Politika·Trump

Will Trump be impeached by...?

icon for Will Trump be impeached by...?
Politika·Trump

Will Trump be impeached by...?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 20, 2029

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 20, 2029

$1,026,482 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Kumita ng 3.25%
Polymarket

$1,026,482 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$1,025,657 Vol.

2%

June 30, 2027

$0 Vol.

45%

December 31, 2027

$825 Vol.

81%

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Democratic prospects of regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms remain the dominant factor in trader pricing for impeachment markets.** Republicans currently hold the majority, and recent attempts such as Rep. Al Green’s September 15 resolution over immigration enforcement and CBP/ICE operations were tabled on a 232-147 vote, with many Democrats voting present. Polling shows Democrats leading the generic congressional ballot, positioning them to secure the simple majority needed for articles of impeachment after the new Congress convenes in January 2027. Markets price a low single-digit probability of House passage by December 31, 2026, but around 70% before the end of Trump’s term in January 2029, reflecting the structural barrier until majority shifts occur alongside ongoing partisan tensions over executive actions. Senate conviction thresholds and historical patterns continue to limit removal odds regardless of House action.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$1,026,482
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Democratic prospects of regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms remain the dominant factor in trader pricing for impeachment markets.** Republicans currently hold the majority, and recent attempts such as Rep. Al Green’s September 15 resolution over immigration enforcement and CBP/ICE operations were tabled on a 232-147 vote, with many Democrats voting present. Polling shows Democrats leading the generic congressional ballot, positioning them to secure the simple majority needed for articles of impeachment after the new Congress convenes in January 2027. Markets price a low single-digit probability of House passage by December 31, 2026, but around 70% before the end of Trump’s term in January 2029, reflecting the structural barrier until majority shifts occur alongside ongoing partisan tensions over executive actions. Senate conviction thresholds and historical patterns continue to limit removal odds regardless of House action.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$1,026,482
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...

Kaugnay

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Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

3%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Will Trump be impeached by...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "December 31, 2027" sa 81%, sinusundan ng "June 30, 2027" sa 45%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 81¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 81% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Will Trump be impeached by...?" ay naka-generate ng $1 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 25, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Will Trump be impeached by...?," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Will Trump be impeached by...?" ay "December 31, 2027" sa 81%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 81% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "June 30, 2027" sa 45%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will Trump be impeached by...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.