Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for April 10-17, 2026, heavily favors the 300-319 range at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady posting cadence of 41 posts per day so far through six days elapsed, totaling 247 as of early April 16 per XTracker data. This pace aligns with March 2026's 42 daily average and prior weekly resolutions like 240-259 for April 3-10, driven by consistent engagement on viral topics such as South African race laws, Tesla Semi production, and AI hardware tapeouts. No major surges or lulls in the past 48 hours, but the final 14% of the period leaves room for swings from breaking news or xAI/Tesla announcements, with 280-299 (25.4%) and 320-339 (19.1%) close behind amid inherent volatility in celebrity social media activity.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi300-319 37%
280-299 26.1%
320-339 19.7%
340-359 8.3%
$9,037,428 Hac.
$9,037,428 Hac.
17 Nis 2026
240-259
1%
260-279
7%
280-299
26%
300-319
37%
320-339
20%
340-359
8%
360-379
3%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300-319 37%
280-299 26.1%
320-339 19.7%
340-359 8.3%
$9,037,428 Hac.
$9,037,428 Hac.
17 Nis 2026
240-259
$718,481 Hac.
1%
260-279
$454,819 Hac.
7%
280-299
$368,958 Hac.
26%
300-319
$305,166 Hac.
37%
320-339
$375,917 Hac.
20%
340-359
$294,303 Hac.
8%
360-379
$290,822 Hac.
3%
380-399
$279,319 Hac.
1%
400-419
$231,164 Hac.
<1%
420-439
$302,494 Hac.
<1%
440-459
$469,566 Hac.
<1%
460-479
$337,811 Hac.
<1%
480-499
$329,732 Hac.
<1%
500-519
$264,189 Hac.
<1%
520-539
$266,460 Hac.
<1%
540-559
$265,359 Hac.
<1%
560-579
$183,726 Hac.
<1%
580+
$348,991 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for April 10-17, 2026, heavily favors the 300-319 range at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady posting cadence of 41 posts per day so far through six days elapsed, totaling 247 as of early April 16 per XTracker data. This pace aligns with March 2026's 42 daily average and prior weekly resolutions like 240-259 for April 3-10, driven by consistent engagement on viral topics such as South African race laws, Tesla Semi production, and AI hardware tapeouts. No major surges or lulls in the past 48 hours, but the final 14% of the period leaves room for swings from breaking news or xAI/Tesla announcements, with 280-299 (25.4%) and 320-339 (19.1%) close behind amid inherent volatility in celebrity social media activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Hacim
$9,037,428Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for April 10-17, 2026, heavily favors the 300-319 range at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady posting cadence of 41 posts per day so far through six days elapsed, totaling 247 as of early April 16 per XTracker data. This pace aligns with March 2026's 42 daily average and prior weekly resolutions like 240-259 for April 3-10, driven by consistent engagement on viral topics such as South African race laws, Tesla Semi production, and AI hardware tapeouts. No major surges or lulls in the past 48 hours, but the final 14% of the period leaves room for swings from breaking news or xAI/Tesla announcements, with 280-299 (25.4%) and 320-339 (19.1%) close behind amid inherent volatility in celebrity social media activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Hacim
$9,037,428Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for April 10-17, 2026, heavily favors the 300-319 range at 36.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady posting cadence of 41 posts per day so far through six days elapsed, totaling 247 as of early April 16 per XTracker data. This pace aligns with March 2026's 42 daily average and prior weekly resolutions like 240-259 for April 3-10, driven by consistent engagement on viral topics such as South African race laws, Tesla Semi production, and AI hardware tapeouts. No major surges or lulls in the past 48 hours, but the final 14% of the period leaves room for swings from breaking news or xAI/Tesla announcements, with 280-299 (25.4%) and 320-339 (19.1%) close behind amid inherent volatility in celebrity social media activity.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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