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Siyaset·Kültür

Elon Musk, Nisan 2026 'da # tweet mi atmıştı?

Market icon
Siyaset·Kültür

Elon Musk, Nisan 2026 'da # tweet mi atmıştı?

May 1

Haz 1

May 1

Haz 1

1240-1279 14.1%

1160-1199 11.6%

1200-1239 11.2%

1120-1159 10.3%

Polymarket

$7,683,319 Hac.

1240-1279 14.1%

1160-1199 11.6%

1200-1239 11.2%

1120-1159 10.3%

Polymarket

$7,683,319 Hac.

540-559

$77,250 Hac.

<1%

560-579

$99,157 Hac.

<1%

580-599

$96,188 Hac.

<1%

600-619

$80,287 Hac.

<1%

620-639

$127,474 Hac.

<1%

640-659

$124,542 Hac.

<1%

660-679

$137,675 Hac.

<1%

680-699

$48,894 Hac.

<1%

700-719

$68,076 Hac.

<1%

720-739

$59,002 Hac.

<1%

740-759

$21,808 Hac.

<1%

760-779

$37,510 Hac.

<1%

780-799

$49,860 Hac.

<1%

800-839

$70,780 Hac.

1%

840-879

$44,817 Hac.

1%

880-919

$151,275 Hac.

1%

920-959

$52,732 Hac.

2%

960-999

$34,582 Hac.

2%

1000-1039

$39,447 Hac.

5%

1040-1079

$91,763 Hac.

4%

1080-1119

$61,336 Hac.

3%

1120-1159

$112,915 Hac.

10%

1160-1199

$274,611 Hac.

12%

1200-1239

$167,842 Hac.

11%

1240-1279

$87,550 Hac.

14%

1280-1319

$171,579 Hac.

10%

1320-1359

$241,638 Hac.

6%

1360-1399

$214,710 Hac.

4%

1400-1439

$518,466 Hac.

3%

1440-1479

$84,694 Hac.

2%

1480-1519

$72,308 Hac.

1%

1520-1559

$89,505 Hac.

1%

1560-1599

$108,053 Hac.

1%

1600-1679

$103,559 Hac.

1%

1680-1759

$148,085 Hac.

1%

1760-1839

$100,127 Hac.

<1%

1840-1919

$156,714 Hac.

<1%

1920-1999

$31,331 Hac.

<1%

2000+

$29,343 Hac.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk April 2026 X posts market tightly clusters implied probabilities around 1160-1319 main feed posts (quotes and reposts included, most replies excluded), reflecting a sustained high-volume pace averaging 40+ posts daily through April 15, per xTracker data last synced late that day—up sharply from early-month 30s amid viral threads slamming South African "Black Economic Empowerment" laws as "Apartheid 2.0" and Tesla's AI5 chip tapeout reveal. Recent days hit 50+ posts on April 16, driven by culture-war clashes with President Ramaphosa, Tesla Semi hype, and AI critiques of Apple/Google "nudify" apps, boosting engagement. With 14 days left, the close frontrunner race hinges on whether political firestorms or product announcements sustain spikes versus normalization to quieter periods, per historical patterns.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Hacim
$7,683,319
Bitiş Tarihi
1 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Çözümleme Kaynağı

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk April 2026 X posts market tightly clusters implied probabilities around 1160-1319 main feed posts (quotes and reposts included, most replies excluded), reflecting a sustained high-volume pace averaging 40+ posts daily through April 15, per xTracker data last synced late that day—up sharply from early-month 30s amid viral threads slamming South African "Black Economic Empowerment" laws as "Apartheid 2.0" and Tesla's AI5 chip tapeout reveal. Recent days hit 50+ posts on April 16, driven by culture-war clashes with President Ramaphosa, Tesla Semi hype, and AI critiques of Apple/Google "nudify" apps, boosting engagement. With 14 days left, the close frontrunner race hinges on whether political firestorms or product announcements sustain spikes versus normalization to quieter periods, per historical patterns.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Hacim
$7,683,319
Bitiş Tarihi
1 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Çözümleme Kaynağı

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Elon Musk, Nisan 2026 'da # tweet mi atmıştı?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 66+ olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 14% ile "1240-1279", ardından 12% ile "1160-1199" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 14¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 14% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Elon Musk, Nisan 2026 'da # tweet mi atmıştı?" toplam $7.7 million işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Feb 24, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Elon Musk, Nisan 2026 'da # tweet mi atmıştı?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 66+ mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Elon Musk, Nisan 2026 'da # tweet mi atmıştı?" için mevcut favori 14% ile "1240-1279"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 14% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 12% ile "1160-1199"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Elon Musk, Nisan 2026 'da # tweet mi atmıştı?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.