Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters implied probabilities around 1320-1439 posts for Elon Musk's X activity in May 2026, with 1320-1359 leading at 7.6%, directly anchored by March 2026's resolved 1320-1359 count and April's ongoing pace of 41 daily posts through mid-month. Recent spikes, like 78 posts April 12-13 amid Tesla service buzz and political jabs, highlight volatility driven by viral moments on AI ethics, Starlink disputes, and tech rivalries, keeping adjacent bins competitive. No confirmed schedule shifts in the past 48 hours, but May's 31 days and potential catalysts—Q2 earnings, xAI updates, or election chatter—could swing volume 10-20%, underscoring the market's skin-in-the-game caution on Musk's unpredictable posting rhythm.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi1320-1359 7.6%
1360-1399 7.0%
1280-1319 6.8%
1160-1199 6.8%
$304,286 Hac.
$304,286 Hac.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
1%
780-799
1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
1%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
2%
1040-1079
3%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
5%
1160-1199
7%
1200-1239
6%
1240-1279
6%
1280-1319
7%
1320-1359
8%
1360-1399
7%
1400-1439
6%
1440-1479
6%
1480-1519
4%
1520-1559
3%
1560-1599
2%
1600-1679
1%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
1%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
1%
2000+
2%
1320-1359 7.6%
1360-1399 7.0%
1280-1319 6.8%
1160-1199 6.8%
$304,286 Hac.
$304,286 Hac.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
1%
780-799
1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
1%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
2%
1040-1079
3%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
5%
1160-1199
7%
1200-1239
6%
1240-1279
6%
1280-1319
7%
1320-1359
8%
1360-1399
7%
1400-1439
6%
1440-1479
6%
1480-1519
4%
1520-1559
3%
1560-1599
2%
1600-1679
1%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
1%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
1%
2000+
2%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Çözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters implied probabilities around 1320-1439 posts for Elon Musk's X activity in May 2026, with 1320-1359 leading at 7.6%, directly anchored by March 2026's resolved 1320-1359 count and April's ongoing pace of 41 daily posts through mid-month. Recent spikes, like 78 posts April 12-13 amid Tesla service buzz and political jabs, highlight volatility driven by viral moments on AI ethics, Starlink disputes, and tech rivalries, keeping adjacent bins competitive. No confirmed schedule shifts in the past 48 hours, but May's 31 days and potential catalysts—Q2 earnings, xAI updates, or election chatter—could swing volume 10-20%, underscoring the market's skin-in-the-game caution on Musk's unpredictable posting rhythm.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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