Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 94% in the MA-05 House race, driven by the district's strong D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index—ranking it among the nation's bluest seats—and incumbent Minority Whip Katherine Clark's commanding position with over $2 million cash on hand as of late 2025. Clark crushed write-ins 98% to 2% in the uncontested 2024 general election and holds massive fundraising leads over left-wing Democratic primary challengers Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries. No Republican candidates have declared, underscoring the absence of viable GOP opposition in recent cycles where nominees garnered under 26% historically. Scenarios shifting odds include a high-profile Republican recruit post-filing deadlines in May-June 2026, a Clark scandal, or an extraordinary national midterm wave, though structural advantages make these low-probability.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMA -05 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
MA -05 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
$17,817 Hac.
$17,817 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat Parti
94%
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
6%
$17,817 Hac.
$17,817 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat Parti
$16,519 Hac.
94%
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
$1,298 Hac.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 94% in the MA-05 House race, driven by the district's strong D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index—ranking it among the nation's bluest seats—and incumbent Minority Whip Katherine Clark's commanding position with over $2 million cash on hand as of late 2025. Clark crushed write-ins 98% to 2% in the uncontested 2024 general election and holds massive fundraising leads over left-wing Democratic primary challengers Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries. No Republican candidates have declared, underscoring the absence of viable GOP opposition in recent cycles where nominees garnered under 26% historically. Scenarios shifting odds include a high-profile Republican recruit post-filing deadlines in May-June 2026, a Clark scandal, or an extraordinary national midterm wave, though structural advantages make these low-probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Hacim
$17,817Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 94% in the MA-05 House race, driven by the district's strong D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index—ranking it among the nation's bluest seats—and incumbent Minority Whip Katherine Clark's commanding position with over $2 million cash on hand as of late 2025. Clark crushed write-ins 98% to 2% in the uncontested 2024 general election and holds massive fundraising leads over left-wing Democratic primary challengers Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries. No Republican candidates have declared, underscoring the absence of viable GOP opposition in recent cycles where nominees garnered under 26% historically. Scenarios shifting odds include a high-profile Republican recruit post-filing deadlines in May-June 2026, a Clark scandal, or an extraordinary national midterm wave, though structural advantages make these low-probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$17,817Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 94% in the MA-05 House race, driven by the district's strong D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index—ranking it among the nation's bluest seats—and incumbent Minority Whip Katherine Clark's commanding position with over $2 million cash on hand as of late 2025. Clark crushed write-ins 98% to 2% in the uncontested 2024 general election and holds massive fundraising leads over left-wing Democratic primary challengers Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman ahead of the September 1, 2026 primaries. No Republican candidates have declared, underscoring the absence of viable GOP opposition in recent cycles where nominees garnered under 26% historically. Scenarios shifting odds include a high-profile Republican recruit post-filing deadlines in May-June 2026, a Clark scandal, or an extraordinary national midterm wave, though structural advantages make these low-probability.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular