Missouri's 1st Congressional District's D+29 partisan voter index and unanimous Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball underpin trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 92.5% to retain the seat in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell seeks re-election amid a high-profile Democratic primary rematch with former Rep. Cori Bush—plus challengers Carl Henderson and Alissa Murphy—set for August 4 after the March 31 filing deadline. Republicans Paul Berry III and Andrew Jones Jr. vie in their primary, but face steep structural barriers in this deep-blue battleground historically delivering lopsided Democratic margins. Scenarios like a nominee-weakening primary bloodbath, major scandals, or a national Republican midterm wave could challenge the outlook, though such shifts remain improbable given the district's entrenched lean.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMO -01 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
MO -01 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
$11,684 Hac.
$11,684 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat Parti
93%
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
8%
$11,684 Hac.
$11,684 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokrat Parti
$5,498 Hac.
93%
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
$6,187 Hac.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 1st Congressional District's D+29 partisan voter index and unanimous Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball underpin trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 92.5% to retain the seat in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell seeks re-election amid a high-profile Democratic primary rematch with former Rep. Cori Bush—plus challengers Carl Henderson and Alissa Murphy—set for August 4 after the March 31 filing deadline. Republicans Paul Berry III and Andrew Jones Jr. vie in their primary, but face steep structural barriers in this deep-blue battleground historically delivering lopsided Democratic margins. Scenarios like a nominee-weakening primary bloodbath, major scandals, or a national Republican midterm wave could challenge the outlook, though such shifts remain improbable given the district's entrenched lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Hacim
$11,684Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 1st Congressional District's D+29 partisan voter index and unanimous Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball underpin trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 92.5% to retain the seat in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell seeks re-election amid a high-profile Democratic primary rematch with former Rep. Cori Bush—plus challengers Carl Henderson and Alissa Murphy—set for August 4 after the March 31 filing deadline. Republicans Paul Berry III and Andrew Jones Jr. vie in their primary, but face steep structural barriers in this deep-blue battleground historically delivering lopsided Democratic margins. Scenarios like a nominee-weakening primary bloodbath, major scandals, or a national Republican midterm wave could challenge the outlook, though such shifts remain improbable given the district's entrenched lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$11,684Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 1st Congressional District's D+29 partisan voter index and unanimous Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball underpin trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 92.5% to retain the seat in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell seeks re-election amid a high-profile Democratic primary rematch with former Rep. Cori Bush—plus challengers Carl Henderson and Alissa Murphy—set for August 4 after the March 31 filing deadline. Republicans Paul Berry III and Andrew Jones Jr. vie in their primary, but face steep structural barriers in this deep-blue battleground historically delivering lopsided Democratic margins. Scenarios like a nominee-weakening primary bloodbath, major scandals, or a national Republican midterm wave could challenge the outlook, though such shifts remain improbable given the district's entrenched lean.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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