Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 86.5% to retain New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District, reflecting the open seat's D+2 partisan lean where incumbent Chris Pappas held strong margins before pursuing the U.S. Senate race. Recent first-quarter fundraising disclosures, highlighted in mid-April reports, show Democrats like Maura Sullivan raising over $700,000 and frontrunner Stefany Shaheen securing key endorsements from Portsmouth leaders, bolstering primary positioning ahead of the September 8 primaries. A fragmented Republican field with multiple candidates lacks a clear leader, limiting consolidation prospects despite the district's narrow Harris win in 2024, as Cook Political rates it Likely D. National midterm dynamics or GOP nominee emergence could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiNH-01 House Election Winner
NH-01 House Election Winner
YENİ
YENİ
4 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
87%
Republican Party
14%
YENİ
YENİ
4 Kas 2026
Democratic Party
$920 Hac.
87%
Republican Party
$1,470 Hac.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 86.5% to retain New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District, reflecting the open seat's D+2 partisan lean where incumbent Chris Pappas held strong margins before pursuing the U.S. Senate race. Recent first-quarter fundraising disclosures, highlighted in mid-April reports, show Democrats like Maura Sullivan raising over $700,000 and frontrunner Stefany Shaheen securing key endorsements from Portsmouth leaders, bolstering primary positioning ahead of the September 8 primaries. A fragmented Republican field with multiple candidates lacks a clear leader, limiting consolidation prospects despite the district's narrow Harris win in 2024, as Cook Political rates it Likely D. National midterm dynamics or GOP nominee emergence could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Hacim
$2,390Bitiş Tarihi
4 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 86.5% to retain New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District, reflecting the open seat's D+2 partisan lean where incumbent Chris Pappas held strong margins before pursuing the U.S. Senate race. Recent first-quarter fundraising disclosures, highlighted in mid-April reports, show Democrats like Maura Sullivan raising over $700,000 and frontrunner Stefany Shaheen securing key endorsements from Portsmouth leaders, bolstering primary positioning ahead of the September 8 primaries. A fragmented Republican field with multiple candidates lacks a clear leader, limiting consolidation prospects despite the district's narrow Harris win in 2024, as Cook Political rates it Likely D. National midterm dynamics or GOP nominee emergence could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$2,390Bitiş Tarihi
4 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 86.5% to retain New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District, reflecting the open seat's D+2 partisan lean where incumbent Chris Pappas held strong margins before pursuing the U.S. Senate race. Recent first-quarter fundraising disclosures, highlighted in mid-April reports, show Democrats like Maura Sullivan raising over $700,000 and frontrunner Stefany Shaheen securing key endorsements from Portsmouth leaders, bolstering primary positioning ahead of the September 8 primaries. A fragmented Republican field with multiple candidates lacks a clear leader, limiting consolidation prospects despite the district's narrow Harris win in 2024, as Cook Political rates it Likely D. National midterm dynamics or GOP nominee emergence could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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