Universal and Illumination's The Super Mario Galaxy Movie enters its third weekend with tracking estimates of $35-45 million, fueling trader consensus at 95% implied probability for under $44 million after a front-loaded run totaling $310 million domestic through Tuesday. A 47-49% second-weekend drop to $69 million—steeper than the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's trajectory—reflects weaker critical reception (44% Rotten Tomatoes) and audience metrics (A- CinemaScore vs. prior A grade, 79% PostTrak), trailing the original by $56 million at the same point despite $110 million budget. Competition from Project Hail Mary's $13-18 million fourth weekend and The Mummy's $17-22 million debut adds pressure, though minimal four-quadrant rivals keep it atop charts. An upset above $44 million would require robust family turnout, favorable weather, or stronger word-of-mouth than previews suggest, potentially mirroring the first film's superior third-weekend hold.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi"Süper Mario Galaxy Filmi" 3. Hafta Sonu Gişesi
"Süper Mario Galaxy Filmi" 3. Hafta Sonu Gişesi
<44m 95.4%
44-48m 3.6%
>52m <1%
48-52m <1%
$38,423 Hac.
$38,423 Hac.
20 Nis 2026
<44m
95%
44-48m
4%
48-52m
<1%
>52m
1%
<44m 95.4%
44-48m 3.6%
>52m <1%
48-52m <1%
$38,423 Hac.
$38,423 Hac.
20 Nis 2026
<44m
$3,397 Hac.
95%
44-48m
$5,091 Hac.
4%
48-52m
$8,062 Hac.
<1%
>52m
$21,874 Hac.
1%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Universal and Illumination's The Super Mario Galaxy Movie enters its third weekend with tracking estimates of $35-45 million, fueling trader consensus at 95% implied probability for under $44 million after a front-loaded run totaling $310 million domestic through Tuesday. A 47-49% second-weekend drop to $69 million—steeper than the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's trajectory—reflects weaker critical reception (44% Rotten Tomatoes) and audience metrics (A- CinemaScore vs. prior A grade, 79% PostTrak), trailing the original by $56 million at the same point despite $110 million budget. Competition from Project Hail Mary's $13-18 million fourth weekend and The Mummy's $17-22 million debut adds pressure, though minimal four-quadrant rivals keep it atop charts. An upset above $44 million would require robust family turnout, favorable weather, or stronger word-of-mouth than previews suggest, potentially mirroring the first film's superior third-weekend hold.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Hacim
$38,423Bitiş Tarihi
20 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Universal and Illumination's The Super Mario Galaxy Movie enters its third weekend with tracking estimates of $35-45 million, fueling trader consensus at 95% implied probability for under $44 million after a front-loaded run totaling $310 million domestic through Tuesday. A 47-49% second-weekend drop to $69 million—steeper than the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's trajectory—reflects weaker critical reception (44% Rotten Tomatoes) and audience metrics (A- CinemaScore vs. prior A grade, 79% PostTrak), trailing the original by $56 million at the same point despite $110 million budget. Competition from Project Hail Mary's $13-18 million fourth weekend and The Mummy's $17-22 million debut adds pressure, though minimal four-quadrant rivals keep it atop charts. An upset above $44 million would require robust family turnout, favorable weather, or stronger word-of-mouth than previews suggest, potentially mirroring the first film's superior third-weekend hold.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Hacim
$38,423Bitiş Tarihi
20 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Universal and Illumination's The Super Mario Galaxy Movie enters its third weekend with tracking estimates of $35-45 million, fueling trader consensus at 95% implied probability for under $44 million after a front-loaded run totaling $310 million domestic through Tuesday. A 47-49% second-weekend drop to $69 million—steeper than the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's trajectory—reflects weaker critical reception (44% Rotten Tomatoes) and audience metrics (A- CinemaScore vs. prior A grade, 79% PostTrak), trailing the original by $56 million at the same point despite $110 million budget. Competition from Project Hail Mary's $13-18 million fourth weekend and The Mummy's $17-22 million debut adds pressure, though minimal four-quadrant rivals keep it atop charts. An upset above $44 million would require robust family turnout, favorable weather, or stronger word-of-mouth than previews suggest, potentially mirroring the first film's superior third-weekend hold.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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