Incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 96% implied probability of victory in Assam's 126-seat Legislative Assembly following April 9 single-phase polling with record voter turnout above 80%, signaling strong enthusiasm among BJP strongholds. Pre-election opinion polls from IANS-Matrize and others projected NDA 90+ seats, building on their 2021 majority of 75 seats under Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, bolstered by welfare schemes, infrastructure gains, and alliances with Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) and Bodoland People's Front (BPF). Congress-led opposition, weakened by key defections and fragmented alliances, trails far behind. Vote counting occurs May 4; rare disruptions like widespread recounts or EVM disputes could challenge this, though structural advantages and polling trends make an upset improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAssam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
BJP 96.2%
INC 2.8%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$63,544 Обс.
$63,544 Обс.
May 20, 2026
BJP
96%
INC
3%
AITC
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
AIUDF
<1%
BPF
<1%
CPI
<1%
NPEP
<1%
AGP
<1%
BJP 96.2%
INC 2.8%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$63,544 Обс.
$63,544 Обс.
May 20, 2026
BJP
$12,412 Обс.
96%
INC
$7,641 Обс.
3%
AITC
$4,697 Обс.
<1%
CPI(M)
$5,029 Обс.
<1%
NCP
$4,401 Обс.
<1%
AIUDF
$5,115 Обс.
<1%
BPF
$4,656 Обс.
<1%
CPI
$9,352 Обс.
<1%
NPEP
$5,401 Обс.
<1%
AGP
$4,840 Обс.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 96% implied probability of victory in Assam's 126-seat Legislative Assembly following April 9 single-phase polling with record voter turnout above 80%, signaling strong enthusiasm among BJP strongholds. Pre-election opinion polls from IANS-Matrize and others projected NDA 90+ seats, building on their 2021 majority of 75 seats under Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, bolstered by welfare schemes, infrastructure gains, and alliances with Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) and Bodoland People's Front (BPF). Congress-led opposition, weakened by key defections and fragmented alliances, trails far behind. Vote counting occurs May 4; rare disruptions like widespread recounts or EVM disputes could challenge this, though structural advantages and polling trends make an upset improbable.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
Обсяг
$63,544Дата завершення
Apr 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 96% implied probability of victory in Assam's 126-seat Legislative Assembly following April 9 single-phase polling with record voter turnout above 80%, signaling strong enthusiasm among BJP strongholds. Pre-election opinion polls from IANS-Matrize and others projected NDA 90+ seats, building on their 2021 majority of 75 seats under Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, bolstered by welfare schemes, infrastructure gains, and alliances with Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) and Bodoland People's Front (BPF). Congress-led opposition, weakened by key defections and fragmented alliances, trails far behind. Vote counting occurs May 4; rare disruptions like widespread recounts or EVM disputes could challenge this, though structural advantages and polling trends make an upset improbable.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Обсяг
$63,544Дата завершення
Apr 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 96% implied probability of victory in Assam's 126-seat Legislative Assembly following April 9 single-phase polling with record voter turnout above 80%, signaling strong enthusiasm among BJP strongholds. Pre-election opinion polls from IANS-Matrize and others projected NDA 90+ seats, building on their 2021 majority of 75 seats under Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, bolstered by welfare schemes, infrastructure gains, and alliances with Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) and Bodoland People's Front (BPF). Congress-led opposition, weakened by key defections and fragmented alliances, trails far behind. Vote counting occurs May 4; rare disruptions like widespread recounts or EVM disputes could challenge this, though structural advantages and polling trends make an upset improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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