Xi Jinping's consolidated authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army, reinforced through repeated leadership purges and loyalty-focused military reforms, underpins the strong trader consensus against any coup attempt before 2027. Recent verified developments, including the early 2026 removal of senior generals amid ongoing anti-corruption efforts, have been interpreted as strengthening centralized control rather than signaling fractures. With no organized opposition or factional revolts evident in official proceedings, and policy priorities centered on the 15th Five-Year Plan and diplomatic engagements such as the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit, internal stability remains the dominant factor. Unforeseen events like abrupt leadership health changes or severe economic shocks could still introduce uncertainty, though such scenarios lack supporting indicators at present.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено3% шанс
$153,586 Обс.
$153,586 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
3% шанс
$153,586 Обс.
$153,586 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's consolidated authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army, reinforced through repeated leadership purges and loyalty-focused military reforms, underpins the strong trader consensus against any coup attempt before 2027. Recent verified developments, including the early 2026 removal of senior generals amid ongoing anti-corruption efforts, have been interpreted as strengthening centralized control rather than signaling fractures. With no organized opposition or factional revolts evident in official proceedings, and policy priorities centered on the 15th Five-Year Plan and diplomatic engagements such as the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit, internal stability remains the dominant factor. Unforeseen events like abrupt leadership health changes or severe economic shocks could still introduce uncertainty, though such scenarios lack supporting indicators at present.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$153,586Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's consolidated authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army, reinforced through repeated leadership purges and loyalty-focused military reforms, underpins the strong trader consensus against any coup attempt before 2027. Recent verified developments, including the early 2026 removal of senior generals amid ongoing anti-corruption efforts, have been interpreted as strengthening centralized control rather than signaling fractures. With no organized opposition or factional revolts evident in official proceedings, and policy priorities centered on the 15th Five-Year Plan and diplomatic engagements such as the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit, internal stability remains the dominant factor. Unforeseen events like abrupt leadership health changes or severe economic shocks could still introduce uncertainty, though such scenarios lack supporting indicators at present.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$153,586Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's consolidated authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army, reinforced through repeated leadership purges and loyalty-focused military reforms, underpins the strong trader consensus against any coup attempt before 2027. Recent verified developments, including the early 2026 removal of senior generals amid ongoing anti-corruption efforts, have been interpreted as strengthening centralized control rather than signaling fractures. With no organized opposition or factional revolts evident in official proceedings, and policy priorities centered on the 15th Five-Year Plan and diplomatic engagements such as the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit, internal stability remains the dominant factor. Unforeseen events like abrupt leadership health changes or severe economic shocks could still introduce uncertainty, though such scenarios lack supporting indicators at present.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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