Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 92.5% implied probability against a coup attempt in China before 2027, driven by President Xi Jinping's firm consolidation of power following the January 2026 purge of top People's Liberation Army (PLA) generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli on corruption and nuclear secrets charges. Initial overseas rumors of a failed coup against Xi quickly dissipated, with official announcements framing the moves as anti-corruption enforcement, reinforcing Central Military Commission loyalty amid no subsequent unrest or leadership challenges. Recent developments, including Xi's April emphasis on China-Russia diplomatic stability and March National People's Congress projections of economic continuity, signal entrenched political stability, though unforeseen military scandals or factional fractures could still shift dynamics before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$119,439 Обс.
$119,439 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$119,439 Обс.
$119,439 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 92.5% implied probability against a coup attempt in China before 2027, driven by President Xi Jinping's firm consolidation of power following the January 2026 purge of top People's Liberation Army (PLA) generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli on corruption and nuclear secrets charges. Initial overseas rumors of a failed coup against Xi quickly dissipated, with official announcements framing the moves as anti-corruption enforcement, reinforcing Central Military Commission loyalty amid no subsequent unrest or leadership challenges. Recent developments, including Xi's April emphasis on China-Russia diplomatic stability and March National People's Congress projections of economic continuity, signal entrenched political stability, though unforeseen military scandals or factional fractures could still shift dynamics before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$119,439Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 92.5% implied probability against a coup attempt in China before 2027, driven by President Xi Jinping's firm consolidation of power following the January 2026 purge of top People's Liberation Army (PLA) generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli on corruption and nuclear secrets charges. Initial overseas rumors of a failed coup against Xi quickly dissipated, with official announcements framing the moves as anti-corruption enforcement, reinforcing Central Military Commission loyalty amid no subsequent unrest or leadership challenges. Recent developments, including Xi's April emphasis on China-Russia diplomatic stability and March National People's Congress projections of economic continuity, signal entrenched political stability, though unforeseen military scandals or factional fractures could still shift dynamics before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$119,439Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 92.5% implied probability against a coup attempt in China before 2027, driven by President Xi Jinping's firm consolidation of power following the January 2026 purge of top People's Liberation Army (PLA) generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli on corruption and nuclear secrets charges. Initial overseas rumors of a failed coup against Xi quickly dissipated, with official announcements framing the moves as anti-corruption enforcement, reinforcing Central Military Commission loyalty amid no subsequent unrest or leadership challenges. Recent developments, including Xi's April emphasis on China-Russia diplomatic stability and March National People's Congress projections of economic continuity, signal entrenched political stability, though unforeseen military scandals or factional fractures could still shift dynamics before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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