Xi Jinping maintains firm control over China's Communist Party and military through repeated high-level purges, most recently the January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia for alleged discipline violations. This move, framed officially as anti-corruption enforcement, extended into Xi's inner circle without triggering resistance or public challenges, reinforcing perceptions of consolidated authority. Prior 2025 rumors of leadership instability proved unfounded, consistent with historical patterns where opaque systems generate speculation but no verified coup plots. Trader consensus on a low probability of any attempt before 2027 aligns with these dynamics and the absence of credible dissent signals. Potential shifts could stem from abrupt health developments, severe economic downturns eroding elite loyalty, or unforeseen external crises, though structural barriers remain substantial.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$133,538 Обс.
$133,538 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$133,538 Обс.
$133,538 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over China's Communist Party and military through repeated high-level purges, most recently the January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia for alleged discipline violations. This move, framed officially as anti-corruption enforcement, extended into Xi's inner circle without triggering resistance or public challenges, reinforcing perceptions of consolidated authority. Prior 2025 rumors of leadership instability proved unfounded, consistent with historical patterns where opaque systems generate speculation but no verified coup plots. Trader consensus on a low probability of any attempt before 2027 aligns with these dynamics and the absence of credible dissent signals. Potential shifts could stem from abrupt health developments, severe economic downturns eroding elite loyalty, or unforeseen external crises, though structural barriers remain substantial.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$133,538Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over China's Communist Party and military through repeated high-level purges, most recently the January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia for alleged discipline violations. This move, framed officially as anti-corruption enforcement, extended into Xi's inner circle without triggering resistance or public challenges, reinforcing perceptions of consolidated authority. Prior 2025 rumors of leadership instability proved unfounded, consistent with historical patterns where opaque systems generate speculation but no verified coup plots. Trader consensus on a low probability of any attempt before 2027 aligns with these dynamics and the absence of credible dissent signals. Potential shifts could stem from abrupt health developments, severe economic downturns eroding elite loyalty, or unforeseen external crises, though structural barriers remain substantial.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$133,538Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping maintains firm control over China's Communist Party and military through repeated high-level purges, most recently the January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia for alleged discipline violations. This move, framed officially as anti-corruption enforcement, extended into Xi's inner circle without triggering resistance or public challenges, reinforcing perceptions of consolidated authority. Prior 2025 rumors of leadership instability proved unfounded, consistent with historical patterns where opaque systems generate speculation but no verified coup plots. Trader consensus on a low probability of any attempt before 2027 aligns with these dynamics and the absence of credible dissent signals. Potential shifts could stem from abrupt health developments, severe economic downturns eroding elite loyalty, or unforeseen external crises, though structural barriers remain substantial.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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