Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and hourly METAR data from Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature reached 21°C midday on April 26 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, light winds under 10 km/h, low humidity around 40%, and clear skies maximizing solar insolation from a morning low near 6°C—conditions consistent with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting capped warming above April climatological norms of 17–20°C highs. With sunset past and temperatures cooling to 16°C amid stable nocturnal inversion, traders' 100% implied probability on 21°C reflects ironclad observational evidence and skin-in-the-game consensus. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening föhn wind heat burst or rare data revision post-finalization, both precluded by current downward trends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on April 26?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 26?
21°C 100%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$75,334 Обс.
$75,334 Обс.
Apr 26, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
21°C 100%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$75,334 Обс.
$75,334 Обс.
Apr 26, 2026
13°C or below
$821 Обс.
No
14°C
$1,223 Обс.
No
15°C
$1,037 Обс.
No
16°C
$2,231 Обс.
No
17°C
$5,391 Обс.
No
18°C
$6,187 Обс.
No
19°C
$10,830 Обс.
No
20°C
$11,832 Обс.
No
21°C
$17,345 Обс.
Yes
22°C
$10,440 Обс.
No
23°C or higher
$7,997 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and hourly METAR data from Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature reached 21°C midday on April 26 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, light winds under 10 km/h, low humidity around 40%, and clear skies maximizing solar insolation from a morning low near 6°C—conditions consistent with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting capped warming above April climatological norms of 17–20°C highs. With sunset past and temperatures cooling to 16°C amid stable nocturnal inversion, traders' 100% implied probability on 21°C reflects ironclad observational evidence and skin-in-the-game consensus. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening föhn wind heat burst or rare data revision post-finalization, both precluded by current downward trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 24, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Обсяг
$75,334Дата завершення
Apr 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 24, 2026, 12:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and hourly METAR data from Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature reached 21°C midday on April 26 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, light winds under 10 km/h, low humidity around 40%, and clear skies maximizing solar insolation from a morning low near 6°C—conditions consistent with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting capped warming above April climatological norms of 17–20°C highs. With sunset past and temperatures cooling to 16°C amid stable nocturnal inversion, traders' 100% implied probability on 21°C reflects ironclad observational evidence and skin-in-the-game consensus. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening föhn wind heat burst or rare data revision post-finalization, both precluded by current downward trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$75,334Дата завершення
Apr 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 24, 2026, 12:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Turkish State Meteorological Service observations and hourly METAR data from Esenboğa International Airport confirm Ankara's highest temperature reached 21°C midday on April 26 under a persistent high-pressure ridge, light winds under 10 km/h, low humidity around 40%, and clear skies maximizing solar insolation from a morning low near 6°C—conditions consistent with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles forecasting capped warming above April climatological norms of 17–20°C highs. With sunset past and temperatures cooling to 16°C amid stable nocturnal inversion, traders' 100% implied probability on 21°C reflects ironclad observational evidence and skin-in-the-game consensus. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-evening föhn wind heat burst or rare data revision post-finalization, both precluded by current downward trends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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