Recent ensemble forecasts from global models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a daily maximum near 29–30°C for Ankara on August 18 under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow. This places the market-implied odds for those two outcomes at the top, consistent with a gradual seasonal cooling from early-August peaks near 32–33°C and the absence of strong southerly advection or moisture that would support higher readings. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon wind speeds, and any thin high-cloud development account for the narrow spread between 29°C and 31°C, while historical August climatology (average highs 31–32°C) provides context but yields to the latest observational trends showing slightly suppressed maxima. Updated short-range guidance expected over the next 24–48 hours will further constrain the exact peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on August 18?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 18?
30°C 40%
29°C 35%
31°C 15%
28°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
35%
30°C
53%
31°C
15%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 40%
29°C 35%
31°C 15%
28°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
$2 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$2 Обс.
1%
27°C
$23 Обс.
3%
28°C
$5 Обс.
9%
29°C
$229 Обс.
35%
30°C
$34 Обс.
53%
31°C
$2 Обс.
15%
32°C
$2 Обс.
3%
33°C
$19 Обс.
2%
34°C
$10 Обс.
1%
35°C or higher
$2 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a daily maximum near 29–30°C for Ankara on August 18 under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow. This places the market-implied odds for those two outcomes at the top, consistent with a gradual seasonal cooling from early-August peaks near 32–33°C and the absence of strong southerly advection or moisture that would support higher readings. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon wind speeds, and any thin high-cloud development account for the narrow spread between 29°C and 31°C, while historical August climatology (average highs 31–32°C) provides context but yields to the latest observational trends showing slightly suppressed maxima. Updated short-range guidance expected over the next 24–48 hours will further constrain the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$327Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a daily maximum near 29–30°C for Ankara on August 18 under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow. This places the market-implied odds for those two outcomes at the top, consistent with a gradual seasonal cooling from early-August peaks near 32–33°C and the absence of strong southerly advection or moisture that would support higher readings. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon wind speeds, and any thin high-cloud development account for the narrow spread between 29°C and 31°C, while historical August climatology (average highs 31–32°C) provides context but yields to the latest observational trends showing slightly suppressed maxima. Updated short-range guidance expected over the next 24–48 hours will further constrain the exact peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$327Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a daily maximum near 29–30°C for Ankara on August 18 under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow. This places the market-implied odds for those two outcomes at the top, consistent with a gradual seasonal cooling from early-August peaks near 32–33°C and the absence of strong southerly advection or moisture that would support higher readings. Subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon wind speeds, and any thin high-cloud development account for the narrow spread between 29°C and 31°C, while historical August climatology (average highs 31–32°C) provides context but yields to the latest observational trends showing slightly suppressed maxima. Updated short-range guidance expected over the next 24–48 hours will further constrain the exact peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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