Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 100°F for Austin on August 14 amid a persistent upper-level ridge of high pressure that promotes subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and strong solar heating. Southerly flow advects Gulf moisture, raising dew points and limiting extreme maxima through enhanced mixing and possible scattered afternoon clouds, which explains why traders heavily favor the 96–99°F bins over 100°F+. August climatology shows average highs near 96–99°F, with recent days featuring similar 99–101°F readings under comparable synoptic patterns; slight differences in timing of cloud development or boundary-layer moisture between model runs create the tight spread between the two leading outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on August 14?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 14?
98-99°F 43%
96-97°F 34%
100-101°F 11%
94-95°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
34%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
3%
106°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 43%
96-97°F 34%
100-101°F 11%
94-95°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
87°F or below
$12 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$12 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$27 Обс.
1%
92-93°F
$34 Обс.
6%
94-95°F
$27 Обс.
9%
96-97°F
$44 Обс.
34%
98-99°F
$238 Обс.
43%
100-101°F
$53 Обс.
11%
102-103°F
$22 Обс.
5%
104-105°F
$125 Обс.
3%
106°F or higher
$275 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 100°F for Austin on August 14 amid a persistent upper-level ridge of high pressure that promotes subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and strong solar heating. Southerly flow advects Gulf moisture, raising dew points and limiting extreme maxima through enhanced mixing and possible scattered afternoon clouds, which explains why traders heavily favor the 96–99°F bins over 100°F+. August climatology shows average highs near 96–99°F, with recent days featuring similar 99–101°F readings under comparable synoptic patterns; slight differences in timing of cloud development or boundary-layer moisture between model runs create the tight spread between the two leading outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$868Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 100°F for Austin on August 14 amid a persistent upper-level ridge of high pressure that promotes subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and strong solar heating. Southerly flow advects Gulf moisture, raising dew points and limiting extreme maxima through enhanced mixing and possible scattered afternoon clouds, which explains why traders heavily favor the 96–99°F bins over 100°F+. August climatology shows average highs near 96–99°F, with recent days featuring similar 99–101°F readings under comparable synoptic patterns; slight differences in timing of cloud development or boundary-layer moisture between model runs create the tight spread between the two leading outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$868Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 100°F for Austin on August 14 amid a persistent upper-level ridge of high pressure that promotes subsidence, clear to partly cloudy skies, and strong solar heating. Southerly flow advects Gulf moisture, raising dew points and limiting extreme maxima through enhanced mixing and possible scattered afternoon clouds, which explains why traders heavily favor the 96–99°F bins over 100°F+. August climatology shows average highs near 96–99°F, with recent days featuring similar 99–101°F readings under comparable synoptic patterns; slight differences in timing of cloud development or boundary-layer moisture between model runs create the tight spread between the two leading outcomes. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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