Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows of 80–82°F for Miami on August 14, aligning with the near-even market split between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins. Typical mid-August subtropical conditions—high dew points near 75°F, light easterly flow under the Bermuda High, and scattered nocturnal showers—limit radiational cooling and keep minima elevated above the 78°F climatological average. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as cloud cover duration, boundary-layer wind speeds, and any localized sea-breeze or thunderstorm outflow that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°F. Updated model runs and NWS evening briefings on the 13th will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 14?
80-81°F 32%
82-83°F 32%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 32%
82-83°F 32%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
71°F or below
$12 Обс.
1%
72-73°F
$12 Обс.
4%
74-75°F
$13 Обс.
3%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
7%
78-79°F
$28 Обс.
14%
80-81°F
$21 Обс.
32%
82-83°F
$17 Обс.
32%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
12%
86-87°F
$41 Обс.
6%
88-89°F
$12 Обс.
1%
90°F or higher
$12 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows of 80–82°F for Miami on August 14, aligning with the near-even market split between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins. Typical mid-August subtropical conditions—high dew points near 75°F, light easterly flow under the Bermuda High, and scattered nocturnal showers—limit radiational cooling and keep minima elevated above the 78°F climatological average. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as cloud cover duration, boundary-layer wind speeds, and any localized sea-breeze or thunderstorm outflow that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°F. Updated model runs and NWS evening briefings on the 13th will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$167Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows of 80–82°F for Miami on August 14, aligning with the near-even market split between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins. Typical mid-August subtropical conditions—high dew points near 75°F, light easterly flow under the Bermuda High, and scattered nocturnal showers—limit radiational cooling and keep minima elevated above the 78°F climatological average. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as cloud cover duration, boundary-layer wind speeds, and any localized sea-breeze or thunderstorm outflow that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°F. Updated model runs and NWS evening briefings on the 13th will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$167Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows of 80–82°F for Miami on August 14, aligning with the near-even market split between the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins. Typical mid-August subtropical conditions—high dew points near 75°F, light easterly flow under the Bermuda High, and scattered nocturnal showers—limit radiational cooling and keep minima elevated above the 78°F climatological average. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on forecast details such as cloud cover duration, boundary-layer wind speeds, and any localized sea-breeze or thunderstorm outflow that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°F. Updated model runs and NWS evening briefings on the 13th will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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