Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position overnight lows in Miami around 80–82°F for August 12, driven by persistent subtropical ridging, high dew points near 75°F, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling typical of the humid summer regime. This consensus aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 80–81°F (42.5%) and 82–83°F (29.5%), while the 22.5% on 78–79°F reflects modest uncertainty from possible scattered showers or increased cloud cover that could trim a degree or two. With no tropical systems nearby and the Atlantic basin in a below-normal pattern, traders see little scope for stronger cooling; fresh model updates tonight will clarify whether any mesoscale features alter the baseline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on August 12?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 12?
80-81°F 43%
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 23%
76-77°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 43%
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 23%
76-77°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
71°F or below
$12 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$36 Обс.
1%
74-75°F
$54 Обс.
2%
76-77°F
$25 Обс.
6%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
23%
80-81°F
$42 Обс.
43%
82-83°F
$101 Обс.
30%
84-85°F
$1 Обс.
5%
86-87°F
$82 Обс.
1%
88-89°F
$12 Обс.
1%
90°F or higher
$12 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position overnight lows in Miami around 80–82°F for August 12, driven by persistent subtropical ridging, high dew points near 75°F, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling typical of the humid summer regime. This consensus aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 80–81°F (42.5%) and 82–83°F (29.5%), while the 22.5% on 78–79°F reflects modest uncertainty from possible scattered showers or increased cloud cover that could trim a degree or two. With no tropical systems nearby and the Atlantic basin in a below-normal pattern, traders see little scope for stronger cooling; fresh model updates tonight will clarify whether any mesoscale features alter the baseline.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$376Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position overnight lows in Miami around 80–82°F for August 12, driven by persistent subtropical ridging, high dew points near 75°F, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling typical of the humid summer regime. This consensus aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 80–81°F (42.5%) and 82–83°F (29.5%), while the 22.5% on 78–79°F reflects modest uncertainty from possible scattered showers or increased cloud cover that could trim a degree or two. With no tropical systems nearby and the Atlantic basin in a below-normal pattern, traders see little scope for stronger cooling; fresh model updates tonight will clarify whether any mesoscale features alter the baseline.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$376Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position overnight lows in Miami around 80–82°F for August 12, driven by persistent subtropical ridging, high dew points near 75°F, and limited nocturnal radiational cooling typical of the humid summer regime. This consensus aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 80–81°F (42.5%) and 82–83°F (29.5%), while the 22.5% on 78–79°F reflects modest uncertainty from possible scattered showers or increased cloud cover that could trim a degree or two. With no tropical systems nearby and the Atlantic basin in a below-normal pattern, traders see little scope for stronger cooling; fresh model updates tonight will clarify whether any mesoscale features alter the baseline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання