Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 12 points to a typical mid-August subtropical pattern, with daytime highs most likely reaching the low 90s amid easterly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often limit peak heating. Historical normals near 89–90°F, combined with recent observations of 90–92°F maxima and no incoming cold fronts or heat dome setups, underpin trader consensus around the 92–93°F bin. Model runs show limited upside potential for 94°F or higher without stronger subsidence or clearer skies, while downside risks from increased convection keep lower bins at modest implied probabilities. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Miami on August 12?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 12?
92-93°F 59%
94-95°F 32%
96-97°F 6%
90-91°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
59%
94-95°F
32%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 59%
94-95°F 32%
96-97°F 6%
90-91°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
83°F or below
$12 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$12 Обс.
1%
86-87°F
$4 Обс.
3%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
5%
90-91°F
$0 Обс.
5%
92-93°F
$142 Обс.
59%
94-95°F
$37 Обс.
32%
96-97°F
$5 Обс.
6%
98-99°F
$5 Обс.
3%
100-101°F
$12 Обс.
1%
102°F or higher
$12 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 12 points to a typical mid-August subtropical pattern, with daytime highs most likely reaching the low 90s amid easterly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often limit peak heating. Historical normals near 89–90°F, combined with recent observations of 90–92°F maxima and no incoming cold fronts or heat dome setups, underpin trader consensus around the 92–93°F bin. Model runs show limited upside potential for 94°F or higher without stronger subsidence or clearer skies, while downside risks from increased convection keep lower bins at modest implied probabilities. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$241Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 12 points to a typical mid-August subtropical pattern, with daytime highs most likely reaching the low 90s amid easterly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often limit peak heating. Historical normals near 89–90°F, combined with recent observations of 90–92°F maxima and no incoming cold fronts or heat dome setups, underpin trader consensus around the 92–93°F bin. Model runs show limited upside potential for 94°F or higher without stronger subsidence or clearer skies, while downside risks from increased convection keep lower bins at modest implied probabilities. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$241Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 12 points to a typical mid-August subtropical pattern, with daytime highs most likely reaching the low 90s amid easterly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that often limit peak heating. Historical normals near 89–90°F, combined with recent observations of 90–92°F maxima and no incoming cold fronts or heat dome setups, underpin trader consensus around the 92–93°F bin. Model runs show limited upside potential for 94°F or higher without stronger subsidence or clearer skies, while downside risks from increased convection keep lower bins at modest implied probabilities. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning represent the key near-term catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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