Current forecast guidance from National Weather Service models and ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 74–75°F in New York City on August 12, 2026, supported by mild overnight conditions, light southerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the highest probabilities for the 74–75°F and adjacent bins aligns with these runs and historical mid-August Central Park lows near 68–70°F, though the current pattern favors warmer nights. Key variables include overnight wind speeds that could enhance mixing or allow clearer skies for greater cooling, humidity and dewpoint levels affecting minimums, and any last-minute model shifts in steering patterns or weak frontal approaches. The broad distribution across bins underscores remaining uncertainty ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on August 12?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 12?
74-75°F 30%
72-73°F 19%
76-77°F 17%
80-81°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
10%
82°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 30%
72-73°F 19%
76-77°F 17%
80-81°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
$24 Обс.
1%
64-65°F
$22 Обс.
1%
66-67°F
$28 Обс.
4%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
5%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
8%
72-73°F
$28 Обс.
19%
74-75°F
$31 Обс.
30%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
17%
78-79°F
$1 Обс.
7%
80-81°F
$22 Обс.
10%
82°F or higher
$22 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from National Weather Service models and ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 74–75°F in New York City on August 12, 2026, supported by mild overnight conditions, light southerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the highest probabilities for the 74–75°F and adjacent bins aligns with these runs and historical mid-August Central Park lows near 68–70°F, though the current pattern favors warmer nights. Key variables include overnight wind speeds that could enhance mixing or allow clearer skies for greater cooling, humidity and dewpoint levels affecting minimums, and any last-minute model shifts in steering patterns or weak frontal approaches. The broad distribution across bins underscores remaining uncertainty ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$177Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from National Weather Service models and ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 74–75°F in New York City on August 12, 2026, supported by mild overnight conditions, light southerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the highest probabilities for the 74–75°F and adjacent bins aligns with these runs and historical mid-August Central Park lows near 68–70°F, though the current pattern favors warmer nights. Key variables include overnight wind speeds that could enhance mixing or allow clearer skies for greater cooling, humidity and dewpoint levels affecting minimums, and any last-minute model shifts in steering patterns or weak frontal approaches. The broad distribution across bins underscores remaining uncertainty ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$177Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from National Weather Service models and ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 74–75°F in New York City on August 12, 2026, supported by mild overnight conditions, light southerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the highest probabilities for the 74–75°F and adjacent bins aligns with these runs and historical mid-August Central Park lows near 68–70°F, though the current pattern favors warmer nights. Key variables include overnight wind speeds that could enhance mixing or allow clearer skies for greater cooling, humidity and dewpoint levels affecting minimums, and any last-minute model shifts in steering patterns or weak frontal approaches. The broad distribution across bins underscores remaining uncertainty ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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