Forecast models for New York City show the overnight low on August 11 centered in the mid-70s due to elevated humidity, limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and urban heat retention from recent warm daytime highs near 85–90°F. High dew points reduce the diurnal temperature range by slowing surface heat loss, while light winds limit mixing with cooler air aloft. Marine moderation from the Atlantic and the urban heat island effect in Manhattan further anchor minimums above the long-term August average of ~68–70°F. Small differences in predicted cloud cover or wind speed among ensemble runs explain the tight clustering of market probabilities around 74–79°F, with lower outcomes requiring clearer, drier conditions than currently indicated.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on August 11?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 11?
76-77°F 31%
74-75°F 30%
78-79°F 15%
66-67°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
3%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 31%
74-75°F 30%
78-79°F 15%
66-67°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
65°F or below
$17 Обс.
1%
66-67°F
$22 Обс.
5%
68-69°F
$28 Обс.
4%
70-71°F
$30 Обс.
3%
72-73°F
$101 Обс.
3%
74-75°F
$35 Обс.
30%
76-77°F
$4 Обс.
31%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
15%
80-81°F
$1 Обс.
5%
82-83°F
$99 Обс.
3%
84°F or higher
$12 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for New York City show the overnight low on August 11 centered in the mid-70s due to elevated humidity, limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and urban heat retention from recent warm daytime highs near 85–90°F. High dew points reduce the diurnal temperature range by slowing surface heat loss, while light winds limit mixing with cooler air aloft. Marine moderation from the Atlantic and the urban heat island effect in Manhattan further anchor minimums above the long-term August average of ~68–70°F. Small differences in predicted cloud cover or wind speed among ensemble runs explain the tight clustering of market probabilities around 74–79°F, with lower outcomes requiring clearer, drier conditions than currently indicated.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$349Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for New York City show the overnight low on August 11 centered in the mid-70s due to elevated humidity, limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and urban heat retention from recent warm daytime highs near 85–90°F. High dew points reduce the diurnal temperature range by slowing surface heat loss, while light winds limit mixing with cooler air aloft. Marine moderation from the Atlantic and the urban heat island effect in Manhattan further anchor minimums above the long-term August average of ~68–70°F. Small differences in predicted cloud cover or wind speed among ensemble runs explain the tight clustering of market probabilities around 74–79°F, with lower outcomes requiring clearer, drier conditions than currently indicated.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$349Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for New York City show the overnight low on August 11 centered in the mid-70s due to elevated humidity, limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and urban heat retention from recent warm daytime highs near 85–90°F. High dew points reduce the diurnal temperature range by slowing surface heat loss, while light winds limit mixing with cooler air aloft. Marine moderation from the Atlantic and the urban heat island effect in Manhattan further anchor minimums above the long-term August average of ~68–70°F. Small differences in predicted cloud cover or wind speed among ensemble runs explain the tight clustering of market probabilities around 74–79°F, with lower outcomes requiring clearer, drier conditions than currently indicated.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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