Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 75–78°F for Chicago on August 25, 2026, driven by northerly flow and a cooler air mass that has kept readings several degrees below the 81–82°F seasonal normal. This pattern, featuring moderate humidity, light winds, and possible lake moderation, favors the market-leading 78–81°F outcomes while limiting upside risk from warmer advection. Trader consensus aligns with these official model runs and the absence of any developing heat ridge, though minor forecast shifts in steering patterns could still nudge results within the narrow 76–83°F range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on August 25?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 25?
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 33%
82-83°F 12%
76-77°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
71°F or below
3%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
47%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
2%
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 33%
82-83°F 12%
76-77°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
71°F or below
$5 Обс.
3%
72-73°F
$10 Обс.
2%
74-75°F
$41 Обс.
3%
76-77°F
$5 Обс.
10%
78-79°F
$15 Обс.
33%
80-81°F
$309 Обс.
47%
82-83°F
$13 Обс.
12%
84-85°F
$50 Обс.
7%
86-87°F
$10 Обс.
3%
88-89°F
$10 Обс.
2%
90°F or higher
$5 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 75–78°F for Chicago on August 25, 2026, driven by northerly flow and a cooler air mass that has kept readings several degrees below the 81–82°F seasonal normal. This pattern, featuring moderate humidity, light winds, and possible lake moderation, favors the market-leading 78–81°F outcomes while limiting upside risk from warmer advection. Trader consensus aligns with these official model runs and the absence of any developing heat ridge, though minor forecast shifts in steering patterns could still nudge results within the narrow 76–83°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$467Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 75–78°F for Chicago on August 25, 2026, driven by northerly flow and a cooler air mass that has kept readings several degrees below the 81–82°F seasonal normal. This pattern, featuring moderate humidity, light winds, and possible lake moderation, favors the market-leading 78–81°F outcomes while limiting upside risk from warmer advection. Trader consensus aligns with these official model runs and the absence of any developing heat ridge, though minor forecast shifts in steering patterns could still nudge results within the narrow 76–83°F range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$467Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 75–78°F for Chicago on August 25, 2026, driven by northerly flow and a cooler air mass that has kept readings several degrees below the 81–82°F seasonal normal. This pattern, featuring moderate humidity, light winds, and possible lake moderation, favors the market-leading 78–81°F outcomes while limiting upside risk from warmer advection. Trader consensus aligns with these official model runs and the absence of any developing heat ridge, though minor forecast shifts in steering patterns could still nudge results within the narrow 76–83°F range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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