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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?

Ended: Jun 15

Jul 31

Aug 1

Aug 2

Aug 3

Ended: Jun 15

Jul 31

Aug 1

Aug 2

Aug 3

29°C 100.0%

23°C or below <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$208,387 Обс.

29°C 100.0%

23°C or below <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$208,387 Обс.

23°C or below

$934 Обс.

No

24°C

$303 Обс.

No

25°C

$5,106 Обс.

No

26°C

$3,941 Обс.

No

27°C

$29,964 Обс.

No

28°C

$24,586 Обс.

No

29°C

$63,802 Обс.

Yes

30°C

$33,324 Обс.

No

31°C

$27,582 Обс.

No

32°C

$11,153 Обс.

No

33°C or higher

$7,692 Обс.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Heavy rainfall on June 15, 2026, with 122.6 mm recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory, suppressed daytime heating and limited the maximum temperature to 29°C at official stations. This aligns with the market's 100% consensus on that threshold, reflecting verified observations amid a period of above-normal seasonal temperatures and monsoon influences. Trader positioning draws from the direct causal link between precipitation, cloud cover, and reduced solar radiation. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome include clearer skies or delayed rainfall allowing brief peaks above 30°C, though post-event data releases confirm the recorded value with minimal uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$208,387
Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Heavy rainfall on June 15, 2026, with 122.6 mm recorded at the Hong Kong Observatory, suppressed daytime heating and limited the maximum temperature to 29°C at official stations. This aligns with the market's 100% consensus on that threshold, reflecting verified observations amid a period of above-normal seasonal temperatures and monsoon influences. Trader positioning draws from the direct causal link between precipitation, cloud cover, and reduced solar radiation. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome include clearer skies or delayed rainfall allowing brief peaks above 30°C, though post-event data releases confirm the recorded value with minimal uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$208,387
Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «29°C» з 100%, далі «23°C or below» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?» згенерував $208.4K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jun 13, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?» — «29°C» з 100%. Наступний — «23°C or below» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.