Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Jinan will reach a daytime high near 32–33°C on September 16 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with southwesterly flow. This places the outcome well above the 26°C threshold, aligning with the market’s 96% implied probability for that bin and reflecting the ongoing late-summer warm pattern across the North China Plain. Historical mid-September averages hover around 27–28°C, underscoring the current anomaly driven by persistent high pressure and limited moisture. While numerical weather prediction consensus is strong, minor revisions remain possible if afternoon cloud build-up or a subtle wind shift occurs; updated model runs closer to the event will provide the clearest signal for any last adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jinan on September 16?
26°C or higher 96%
16°C or below 4%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
16°C or below
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
96%
26°C or higher 96%
16°C or below 4%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
16°C or below
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Jinan will reach a daytime high near 32–33°C on September 16 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with southwesterly flow. This places the outcome well above the 26°C threshold, aligning with the market’s 96% implied probability for that bin and reflecting the ongoing late-summer warm pattern across the North China Plain. Historical mid-September averages hover around 27–28°C, underscoring the current anomaly driven by persistent high pressure and limited moisture. While numerical weather prediction consensus is strong, minor revisions remain possible if afternoon cloud build-up or a subtle wind shift occurs; updated model runs closer to the event will provide the clearest signal for any last adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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