Official observations from Mexico City's Benito Juárez International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached 27°C or higher, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) monitoring data amid partly sunny conditions, light winds, and seasonal warming trends, where April climatological averages hover around 26°C but frequently exceed 27°C due to high elevation solar heating and dry air masses. Forecasts from SMN and AccuWeather had anticipated peaks near 26°C, yet midday radiational heating pushed actuals higher. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision in official SMN daily climatological bulletin, such as sensor recalibration deeming the peak 26°C exactly—unlikely given established measurement protocols.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 21?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 21?
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$78,816 Обс.
$78,816 Обс.
Apr 21, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
Yes
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$78,816 Обс.
$78,816 Обс.
Apr 21, 2026
17°C or below
$2,557 Обс.
No
18°C
$2,973 Обс.
No
19°C
$2,562 Обс.
No
20°C
$2,419 Обс.
No
21°C
$3,666 Обс.
No
22°C
$4,294 Обс.
No
23°C
$9,152 Обс.
No
24°C
$6,271 Обс.
No
25°C
$5,607 Обс.
No
26°C
$4,496 Обс.
No
27°C or higher
$34,819 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Mexico City's Benito Juárez International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached 27°C or higher, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) monitoring data amid partly sunny conditions, light winds, and seasonal warming trends, where April climatological averages hover around 26°C but frequently exceed 27°C due to high elevation solar heating and dry air masses. Forecasts from SMN and AccuWeather had anticipated peaks near 26°C, yet midday radiational heating pushed actuals higher. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision in official SMN daily climatological bulletin, such as sensor recalibration deeming the peak 26°C exactly—unlikely given established measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 19, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Обсяг
$78,816Дата завершення
Apr 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 19, 2026, 12:16 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Mexico City's Benito Juárez International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached 27°C or higher, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) monitoring data amid partly sunny conditions, light winds, and seasonal warming trends, where April climatological averages hover around 26°C but frequently exceed 27°C due to high elevation solar heating and dry air masses. Forecasts from SMN and AccuWeather had anticipated peaks near 26°C, yet midday radiational heating pushed actuals higher. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision in official SMN daily climatological bulletin, such as sensor recalibration deeming the peak 26°C exactly—unlikely given established measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$78,816Дата завершення
Apr 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 19, 2026, 12:16 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from Mexico City's Benito Juárez International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached 27°C or higher, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) monitoring data amid partly sunny conditions, light winds, and seasonal warming trends, where April climatological averages hover around 26°C but frequently exceed 27°C due to high elevation solar heating and dry air masses. Forecasts from SMN and AccuWeather had anticipated peaks near 26°C, yet midday radiational heating pushed actuals higher. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc revision in official SMN daily climatological bulletin, such as sensor recalibration deeming the peak 26°C exactly—unlikely given established measurement protocols.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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